Atlético de Madrid vs Inter Milan, Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 13/03/2024

Odds via Tonybet

Atlético de Madrid vs Inter Milan	March 13, 2024, 4:00 PM ET
Atlético de Madrid odds	+185
Inter Milan odds	+154
Draw	+235
Over\Under	2.5 +108/-129

Atlético de Madrid vs Inter Milan. Shape of the Teams

If the other Spanish-Italian clash between Barcelona and Napoli seemed certain in terms of predicting the outcome concerning recent form, the tie between Atlético and Inter presents a more evenly matched scenario.

The first leg saw Inter secure a narrow 1-0 victory in Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Despite having the home advantage on Wednesday at the Wanda Metropolitano, it cannot be said Atlético will be the favourite.

1-0 is not a significant difference; it’s back to being even after only one goal. But Atlético’s form has been concerning, with a string of inconsistent performances since the defeat against Inter. Diego Simeone’s team could not get past bottom-dwellers Almeria (2-2) and was eliminated in the semi-final of the Copa del Rey against Ernesto Valverde’s Athletic Club (0-3).

Although they achieved a 2-1 triumph against Real Betis, this win was quickly overshadowed by a 2-0 loss to Cádiz. That brings the Rojiblancos to their current spot, fourth place, a position they’ve grown accustomed to.

Inter, conversely, sails in different waters. They’ve continued their winning streak with a narrow 0-1 victory against Motta’s Bologna in their most recent match.

The return of Thuram after injury is great news for Inzaghi, who should be starting the French forward on Thursday in this critical match-up.

Atlético de Madrid vs Inter Milan Match Info

Date and Kickoff Time: Thursday, March 13, 4:00 PM ET
Stadium: Wanda Metropolitano
Location: Madrid, Spain
Last match: Inter – Atlético de Madrid: 1-0 (February 20, 2024, Champions League)

Atlético de Madrid vs Inter Milan, Odds

Pick: Inter Milan to win
Odds: +154 (Tonybet)

The problem with Atlético is that there are two versions of the Rojiblancos: The team that plays at home and the team away from home. This contrast is a critical factor in their inconsistent journey in European competitions.

The home turf at Wanda Metropolitano turns Atlético de Madrid into a winner, a typical Champions League team, while on the road, the Rojiblancos suddenly play like a mid-table La Liga team. This difference explains why they have not progressed further in various competitions.

Antoine Griezmann’s recent absence only adds insult to injury, despite Alvaro Morata’s return to the fold.

A recent outing against Cádiz laid bare Atlético’s defensive vulnerabilities and lack of punch up front – a recipe for disaster. And yet, due to their home advantage, Atlético could find a way to swing fortunes in their favour.

Simeone and Atlético thrive in clashes where most tipsters write them off – especially when pegged as underdogs. This gritty, battle-hardened mentality builds a mental block that allows them to overturn such situations

But looking at the performances of Saúl and the team’s general mood – without Griezmann’s influence – it is tough to see this happening, especially because Inter Milan is still ripping the entire Serie A apart.

While it is tempting to side with Inter Milan for the win, the unpredictable nature of Champions League nights shouldn’t be underestimated, and it depends on who opens the score.

An early goal by Atlético could dramatically tilt the balance. Expect to see Inter take a cautious yet calculated approach, a strategy that has allowed Inzaghi to build this super team.

Atlético de Madrid vs Inter Milan Betting Tip

Pick: Inter Milan to win by a one-goal margin
Odds: +320 (Tonybet)

I expect Inter Milan to come out on top, a notion solidified not only by Griezmann’s absence but also by the 2-0 defeat against Cádiz. But beyond that, Atlético de Madrid has not been as shaky as in the past weeks since the World Cup.

This big regression was bound to happen with the lack of investment at the back. It’s upsetting that a team that played such great soccer is regressing at the end of the day – potentially resigning themselves to a fourth-place finish in La Liga, a stark contrast to their former glory.

With the various resources, Inter Milan presents a true Swiss Knife in Europe, as written in our last analysis piece, and I don’t see Atlético finding the solution.

However, we should remember that Simeone, akin to Zeus wielding his thunderbolt, thrives when cast as the underdog, capable of galvanizing his squad against the odds.

Additionally, Inter Milan finds itself in unfamiliar territory. They are the favourites, but they have to remain careful. This unusual stance poses questions about how stalwarts like Barella and Bastoni will adapt to the pressure, and that only upgrades the excitement for this clash.

Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.