Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 14)
Calendar icon Updated 14 Sep 08:59

Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 14)

Giorgi Natsvlishvili
Moneyline PickLeeds to Win (+129)
Player PropDominic Calvert-Lewin to Score (+143)
Same Game ParlayLeeds to Win + Dominic Calvert-Lewin to Score + Over 2.5 Goals (+333)
Check Live Odds

Leeds vs Newcastle Main Match Info

Leeds vs Newcastle Moneyline Prediction

Leeds are unbeaten in the Premier League with five points from three matches, having scored three goals and conceded just two. Newcastle also have five points but have already conceded four. More importantly, the Whites have generated 3.9 xG across those three league encounters, compared with the Magpies’ 3.0 xG.

The tactical matchup also gives the hosts a strong route to victory. Newcastle have faced a league-high 61 shots in their opening three games, while Leeds have registered the second-most high-intensity pressures in the opposition half, with 528.

Daniel Farke’s aggressive pressing can target exactly where the Magpies have looked vulnerable. Given the home advantage, we expect the Whites to win.

Leeds vs Newcastle Player Prop

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has started all three Premier League matches and has scored once while generating 1.61 xG from just six shots, including three on target.

There is also an interesting statistical angle. Calvert-Lewin has scored seven Premier League goals against Newcastle, more than against any other opponent in his career.

Leeds are at Elland Road, where they should press aggressively and spend more time in attack. The Magpies’ tendency to allow repeated attacks from opponents increases the probability of crosses, second balls, and penalty-box chances – exactly the situations in which Calvert-Lewin is most effective.

Leeds vs Newcastle Same Game Parlay

Leeds to Win: Leeds are playing at home, where they should be more aggressive. Newcastle, meanwhile, have faced 61 shots in the Premier League and could struggle to contain their opponents.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin to Score: Newcastle are Calvert-Lewin’s favourite opponent, as he has netted seven goals against the Magpies. His role for Leeds makes him a strong candidate to get on the scoresheet.

Over 2.5 Goals: The Whites have conceded in three consecutive matches across all competitions. Newcastle are also vulnerable defensively, and with Dan Burn unavailable, we expect plenty of scoring chances for both sides.

Leeds vs Newcastle Team News

Leeds Team News 

The biggest story of the last week was the extraordinary 6-3 League Cup loss at Chelsea. Leeds actually produced 2.44 xG to the Blues’ 2.38, registered 18 shots to 16, and led 2-0 before collapsing after the interval. Chelsea’s aggressive attacking play changed the match, with four goals arriving in a devastating 12-minute spell.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin is finding form at exactly the right time. He scored the equaliser against Brentford and then struck again against Chelsea. Anton Stach has also been influential. He scored the 88th-minute winner against Nottingham Forest, while Ethan Ampadu remains crucial in midfield.

Leeds’ major injury concern is Joe Rodon. He is expected to miss eight to 10 weeks.

Newcastle Team News

Newcastle’s results look solid with five points from three league matches, but the underlying numbers are much less convincing. Across the Liverpool, Tottenham, and Bournemouth games, the Magpies generated 3.1 xG while allowing around 5.4 xGA. Yet they’ve scored six times.

Anthony Elanga is already Newcastle’s leading league scorer on two goals. Harvey Barnes found the back of the net in the 2-2 draw against Bournemouth. Lewis Hall assisted Barnes in that game and supplied another assist in the 1-0 League Cup win at Millwall.

Dan Burn is out with an ankle injury, and William Osula remains unavailable with a foot issue. Joelinton is also a major doubt after missing recent matches.

Leeds vs Newcastle: Where to Watch (Canada) 

Disclaimer: The content provided on this page, including all soccer predictions, odds, and related information, is for entertainment and informational purposes only. While we strive to ensure accuracy and timeliness, we do not guarantee the correctness or reliability of any predictions, data, or information presented here. 

Responsible Betting: Betting should be fun and enjoyable, not a solution to financial problems. Always gamble within your means. The outcomes of sporting events are unpredictable, and there is always a risk of losing your stake. Only bet with money you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, seek help from a professional organization. For support, visit https://canadasafetycouncil.org/gambling-addiction/

Cookie Notice

This site uses cookies. Find out more about use of cookies in our privacy policy.

Cookie Policy