Odds via Tonybet

Aston Villa vs Newcastle UnitedJanuary 30, 2024, 3:15 PM ET
Aston Villa odds-106
Newcastle United odds+260
Draw+300
Over\Under3 -120 / +100

Aston Villa vs Newcastle United. Shape of the Teams

Despite their differing histories, Newcastle United and Aston Villa share a similar narrative this season characterized by unexpected results and a degree of disappointment.

Let’s not forget that Aston Villa secured a 1-0 win against Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City almost 2 months ago, showcasing their potential. 

On the other hand, Newcastle was recognized as a challenging team but faced difficulties in the Champions League, failing to advance past a tough group stage.

Newcastle United’s recent trajectory in the Premier League has been a source of disappointment, especially considering their earlier potential as a top-six contender.  

They have now slipped to tenth in the standings, falling behind high-profile teams Chelsea and Manchester United, two other disappointing teams with a much larger status and, therefore, higher expectations. 

To trace Newcastle’s last victory in the Premier League, you would have to go back over a month to December 16th, when they secured a 3-0 win against Fulham.

While they have found success in the FA Cup, with victories against Sunderland and Fulham, their league form has notably dipped compared to their early-season performances.

Newcastle United’s recent decline can largely be attributed to an injury crisis that struck the team in November, with many key players sidelined.  

This situation could be a result of the intense workload placed on the main squad at the start of the season, as they competed in all tournaments, including the Champions League and the English League Cup.

Eddie Howe and his coaching staff might have initially believed that the players would sustain their physical and mental strength throughout the season. However, Newcastle’s style of play is notably energy-intensive, which may have contributed to the accumulation of fatigue and subsequent injuries.

This issue became more apparent in early December when the team’s performance noticeably declined, leading to a series of losses. 

Aston Villa currently enjoys a favourable position in the league, sitting at fourth, partly influenced by Manchester City’s dramatic last-minute 3-2 victory over Newcastle, clinched by Oscar Bobb. 

Still, the past few months have revealed some inconsistencies in Unai Emery’s team, marking a contrast to the more stable performances typically seen from other top-tier teams.

This is evident in their varied results, such as the goalless draw against Everton, a loss to Manchester United, and a win against Brentford.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle United Main Match Info

Aston Villa vs Newcastle United, Prediction, Odds

Aston Villa enters their match against Newcastle United as slight favourites, which is largely understandable. They haven’t been at their best lately, but Newcastle seems to have much more trouble. 

It seems rather hard to predict how both teams will set up, but one thing is for sure: It will be interesting. 

Newcastle’s growing defensive concerns are a point of worry, and against Unai Emery’s Aston Villa, known for their cautious approach and preference for protecting leads, a high-scoring game seems unlikely. This contrasts with the last time these teams met, where the match was more open.

Furthermore, Aston Villa boasts an impressive home record at Villa Park, which adds to their advantage going into the match.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle United Betting Tip

As previously mentioned, Unai Emery can generally only coach tight leads. His past has shown that his teams get too evasive and let comebacks crawl under their skin too rapidly when the lead is “too big. ” 

Aston Villa is likely to face challenges from Newcastle’s key players, such as Alexander Isak and Bruno Guimarães. These players have the capability to disrupt Aston Villa’s defensive structure and create scoring opportunities. 

However, while not the most star-studded, Aston Villa’s defense has shown commendable resilience, keeping clean sheets in recent games. This defensive sturdiness will be crucial in thwarting Newcastle’s attempts to penetrate their backline.


Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.


More analytics on soccer:

More Predictions: