Toronto FC vs Atlanta United Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 23/03/2024

Odds via Tonybet

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United prediction	March 23, 2024, 7:30 PM EDT
Toronto FC odds	+130
Atlanta United odds	+210
Draw	+225
Over\Under	2.5 goals, -154/+120

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United, Shape of the Teams

Toronto FC returns home to welcome Atlanta United in an early-season tussle between two sides that have commenced the new campaign quite well.

Having kept three clean sheets in their opening three games, Toronto FC conceded twice in their last game – a 2-1 defeat at New York City FC – in what was their first loss of the season.

The Reds will look to return to winning ways as they face an Atlanta United side that has won its last two outings, the most recent win being a 2-0 scoreline at home to Orlando City last weekend.

Toronto FC has played in a 3-4-2-1 formation under head coach John Herdman, with Lorenzo Insigne being the key man for the Reds. The Italian scored two of their four goals in both victories this term.

Toronto can be quite indecisive in front of goal, struggling to create significant chances. Their 3.0 xG is proof of that, as although they are defensively solid, they create few chances.

Atlanta United has not had problems finding the goal so far, with Greek attacker Giorgos Giakoumakis scoring the joint-most goals in the league (4). They have done a good job in finishing their chances, stemming from their patience in building up.

Sticking to a 4-2-3-1 formation, much of the play goes through Argentinian U23 international Thiago Almada, who has a goal and an assist to his name this campaign. The attacking midfielder is tipped for a promising future and is a key player to keep an eye out for.

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United, Main Match Info

Date and Kickoff Time: Saturday, March 23, 7:30 PM EDT
Stadium: BMO Field
Location: Toronto, Canada
Last match: New York City FC 2-1 Toronto FC (March 16, 2024, MLS)

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United, Prediction, Odds

Pick: Draw
Odds: +254 (Tonybet)

The all-time head-to-head between Toronto FC and Atlanta United reads 4-6-5, with both of last year’s meetings finishing level. The game at BMO Field ended 2-2 almost a year ago.

Both sides have commenced the 2024 MLS campaign in a positive manner, with two wins apiece plus a defeat. Toronto also has a draw to their credit.

Toronto FC and Atlanta have been defensively solid, having conceded twice each. Toronto scored in their only other home match this term, a 1-0 success over Charlotte. Conversely, Atlanta failed to score in their sole away game thus far, which was a 1-0 reverse to Columbus Crew on the opening weekend.

Toronto FC has a few players out through injury, with five players sidelined and three questionable. The absence of Captain Jonathan Osorio due to a hip injury will be a big loss for the Reds. Atlanta is currently fully healthy, allowing coach Gonzalo Pineda to choose from his best 11.

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United, Betting Tip

Pick: Under 2.5 goals
Odds: +118 (Tonybet)

Toronto FC has been incredibly difficult to break down, with three clean sheets in four games. However, they have failed to score multiple goals in any of their matches thus far.

As for Atlanta United, they have scored six goals in their last two outings, both coming at home. They did not score in their sole away match.

So far, Toronto FC has been performing exactly to their xG, which reads 3.0. Remarkably, they have been overperforming in their xGA by 3.0 goals, having conceded just twice instead of the 5.0 xGA.

Atlanta United’s xG through three games is 4.5, meaning they are also overperforming with six goals scored. With two goals against, they are outperforming their xGA by 1.0.

Both sides have been involved in one game with over 2.5 goals. With that in mind, there is a solid chance that this game will be under 2.5 goals per game.

Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.