Las Palmas vs Real Madrid, Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 27/01/2024
Calendar icon Updated 14 Feb 10:24

Las Palmas vs Real Madrid, Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 27/01/2024

Kai Edvard Iliev Kai Edvard Iliev

Odds via Tonybet

Las Palmas vs Real MadridJanuary 27 2024, 10:15 AM ET
Las Palmas odds+580
Real Madrid odds-217
Draw+380
Over\Under2.5 -149\+127

Las Palmas vs Real Madrid. Shape of the Teams

Las Palmas, led by García Pimienta, is a La Liga classic. Historically seen as a yo-yo club going back and forth through promotions and relegations in Spain, Pimienta’s appointment marked a significant change in their fortunes. 

The former Barcelona youth manager, brought in after his contract with the Catalans wasn’t renewed, successfully led Las Palmas to promotion in his first season.

Beyond their geographical uniqueness, being closer to Africa than mainland Europe, Las Palmas stands out for the playing style Pimienta has implemented in this team full of promising players. 

Rarely do teams survive promotion and stay in the first league with a high defensive line like Las Palmas.

Remarkably, while adopting this risky tactical approach, Las Palmas has also managed to maintain a strong defensive record, often securing results with a narrow one-goal margin. However, more recently, they have shown an increased capability in scoring, adjusting their approach to capitalize on more goal-scoring opportunities.

Many would assume that the difference in quality with a high line would lead to multiple individual mistakes, which is not uncommon. But Las Palmas has managed to defy expectations. 

They currently hold eighth place in La Liga, with a modest yet positive goal difference of +4 goals (21 goals scored, 17 goals conceded). Even when they lost, Las Palmas’ gave tough competition to Barcelona and Athletic Club, the latter being in top form this year.

Real Madrid are the favourites – when are they not – but this is an away game on the Canary Islands, the furthest destination in the league. 

Despite this, Real Madrid’s track record against teams other than Atlético de Madrid, particularly with Jude Bellingham’s contribution, has been strong. Their previous encounter with Las Palmas in September at the Bernabeu resulted in a 2-0 victory.

However, Bellingham will be absent due to suspension, following a yellow card in the last game against Almeria for arguing with the ref. His absence could impact Real Madrid’s midfield dynamics and strategy.

Las Palmas vs Real Madrid Main Match Info

Las Palmas vs Real Madrid Prediction, Odds

Playing against a team of Real Madrid’s calibre often brings out a different level of performance from their opponents.

For Las Palmas, with young players like Mika Mármol and Alberto Moleiro, it is hard to predict how they might react to trailing.

Most of their games have been closely contested, either with a one-goal margin or ending in draws, indicating a certain level of competitiveness but also a lack of experience in handling high-pressure situations.

The game against Barcelona indicated that the team can compete with this high defensive line, but it also exposed their vulnerability to mistakes and lapses in judgment, which can be costly, especially for a team that doesn’t score prolifically. 

Real Madrid’s recent performance against Atlético Madrid suggested signs of fatigue, raising questions about the team’s energy levels for their upcoming away game against Las Palmas.

The long trip to the Canary Islands, an atypical and lengthy journey in the context of Spanish domestic football, could further impact their physical condition and readiness.

Admittedly, the comfortable 2-0 win that fans saw in September, where Madrid seemed comfortable, came at a time when Las Palmas was still acclimating to the league. 

By now, they know their grounds, and the reality might just be very different. It all depends on whether Kirian and the other midfielders can cage Kroos and Valverde, who are Madrid’s most important players on a tactical level. 

Las Palmas vs Real Madrid Betting Tip

Most eyes will typically look towards Kroos and Vinicius Jr., but in the absence of Bellingham, Valverde surely is the must-watch element. 

Valverde is Madrid’s main weapon due to his tendency to glide between the zones. As a true box-to-box midfielder, he is found everywhere, and his athleticism and endurance come to good use against the famously risky high line of Las Palmas – all that space behind is Valverde’s bread and butter. 

The effectiveness of Valverde’s play is often enhanced by the presence of Kroos, whose precision in long-ball passing can set up scoring opportunities. With Vinicius Jr. also showing improved form since returning from injury, the synergy between these players could prove to be a formidable force. 

The trio’s combined skills — Kroos’s vision and passing, Valverde’s dynamism and box-to-box presence, and Vinicius’s attacking flair — could indeed be a decisive factor in Real Madrid’s performance against Las Palmas’ high-risk defensive approach.

Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.

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