Chelsea vs Newcastle United Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/03/2024

Odds via Tonybet

Chelsea vs Newcastle United prediction	March 11, 3:00 PM ET
Chelsea odds	-120
Newcastle united odds	+285
Draw	+320
Over\Under	2.5 -233 \ +195

Chelsea vs Newcastle United. Shape of the Teams

Chelsea enter the upcoming game with a three-match unbeaten streak in the Premier League. It is characteristic that all these three matches were played away, in which they managed to beat Crystal Palace with a score of 3-1. The other games included a hard-fought 1-1 draw with Manchester City and a 2-2 deadlock with Brentford.

In the Premier League standings, Mauricio Pochettino’s team are in 11th place, having scored only 36 points from 26 matches. The Blues obtained only half of those points (18) at Stamford Bridge.

On the other side, Newcastle United sits a notch above Chelsea. Positioned tenth in the Premier League standings, they have collected 4 more points than Chelsea, who, however, have a game in hand.

Over the last five rounds, Eddie Howe’s team has displayed a mixed bag of outcomes. The Magpies secured two victories and settled for two draws while suffering a devastating 1-4 defeat away at Arsenal. In the previous Premier League match, Newcastle left no chance for Wolverhampton at their home turf with a convincing 3-0 win.

Chelsea vs Newcastle United Main Match Info

Date and Kickoff Time: March 11, 3:00 PM ET
Stadium: Stamford Bridge
Location: London, England
Last match: Chelsea vs Newcastle, 1-1 (December 20, 2023, EFL Cup)

Chelsea vs Newcastle United Prediction, Odds

Pick: Chelsea to Win
Odds: -120 (Tonybet)

There have already been two encounters between the opponents during this season, with each side tasting victory once.

Newcastle defeated the Blues 4-1 in the first round at St. James Park. However, Chelsea retaliated in the EFL Cup quarterfinals, grabbing the victory after a penalty shootout.

Both teams have been unstable this season, and their performance throughout the campaign has been full of ups and downs, making it challenging to predict a clear favourite in this upcoming match.

Newcastle were unprepared for the sheer effort required to compete in the Champions League. In addition, the team was hit by an injury crisis that swept through the squad in the middle of the season. As a result, Eddie Howe could not establish a consistent pressing system at the level we saw last season.

Chelsea’s play is extremely unstable due to an overreliance on their strikers for goal-scoring and regular lapses in defence.

However, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics at Stamford Bridge lean heavily in Chelsea’s favour. Chelsea have not lost to Newcastle in their last ten Premier League home matches, securing nine wins and one draw.

Considering this significant home advantage, I think Mauricio Pochettino’s side will likely win this game. Moreover, Newcastle is currently hampered by injuries to crucial players like Callum Wilson, Nick Pope, Joelinton, and Kieran Trippier.

Chelsea vs Newcastle United Betting Tip

Pick: Over 3.5 Goals
Odds: +104 (Tonybet)

Predicting an open and productive game between these teams makes sense, and it would reflect both teams’ recent form in the Premier League.

Newcastle, particularly away from home, has been involved in matches rich in goals: eight of their last nine away games featured over three goals. This trend underscores their ability to score but also that they concede in abundance.

Under Mauro Pochettino, Chelsea creates numerous scoring opportunities in most games but struggles to convert those chances into goals. In the Premier League, Chelsea score an average of 1.69 goals per game, while Newcastle averages 2.11.

The only thing that can prevent Chelsea from scoring is Newcastle’s solid play in a deep defensive block. But given Eddie Howe’s team’s defence problems, it is quite possible that Chelsea will break the deadlock early on and that the game will become open.

Historically, encounters between these two sides have been marked by mutual goal-scoring, with only one of their eight most recent matchups failing to see both teams finding the back of the net.

Back home to take on Newcastle. 🫡#CFC | #CheNew pic.twitter.com/rQfQh46gw6
— Chelsea FC (@ChelseaFC) March 11, 2024

In addition, Chelsea and Newcastle played four head-to-head matches last year. In each of these games, they managed to hit the net against each other.

Given these factors, with both teams struggling to keep a clean sheet, I think we will see a goal-laden match and that we can expect to see over 3.5 goals in the upcoming encounter.

Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.