Belgium vs France Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 28)
Calendar icon Published 28 Sep 07:59

Belgium vs France Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 28)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickFrance (-113)
Player PropOusmane Dembele to score anytime (+120)
Same Game ParlayFrance to win + Both teams to score + Under 4.5 total goals (+375)
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Belgium vs France Main Match Info

Belgium vs France Moneyline Prediction

Belgium used a first-half goal from Mika Godts and a second-half tally from Dodi Lukebakio to start their 2026-27 UEFA Nations League campaign with a 2-0 win over Italy. The Red Devils have been playing well lately, and their only defeat in their last 10 matches (including friendlies) was a 2-1 loss to Spain in the Round of 16 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

France kicked off their 2026-27 UEFA Nations League campaign with a 0-1 away win over Turkiye, but the win came at a cost for Les Bleus as Kylian Mbappe suffered a knee injury. The Real Madrid star is set to miss the rest of the international window, but that shouldn’t overshadow Zinedine Zidane’s winning start at the helm of the French squad.

With that win, France ended their brief two-game losing skid at the end of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Even though Belgium will be a tough challenge, and probably a more complicated one than Turkiye, Les Bleus should have enough quality to beat them. France have won their last five meetings with the Red Devils across all competitions, including their three all-time UEFA Nations League fixtures.

Belgium vs France Player Prop

Without Mbappe to lead the attack, Ousmane Dembele will have to play up front. The PSG star and reigning Ballon d’Or winner is used to playing in a central role, and his speed should trouble the opposing defence.

With elite playmakers such as Michael Olise, Desire Doue, and Rayan Cherki sitting behind him, Dembele should have at least a couple of chances to find the back of the net. Expect him to convert at least one to snap a slow start to the season that has seen him score just two goals in eight competitive matches in 2026-27 for club and country.

Belgium vs France Same Game Parlay

I’m backing France to win because of their superior talent, both collectively and individually, and the edge they have over Belgium in their recent H2H meetings. The Red Devils’ last win over Les Bleus came in 2015, and France have taken points in eight of their last nine matches against Belgium across all competitions (W6, D2, L1).

I’m also backing both teams to score because of the elite talent both sides have in the final third. BTTS has landed in three of the last six H2H encounters, including the last one in 2024 at the UEFA Nations League, and in four of Belgium’s last five games dating back to the World Cup.

With Mbappe out of France’s attack and both sides having strong defensive records, backing under 4.5 goals seems smart. The total has stayed under in each of their last three head-to-head meetings, as well as in five of Les Bleus’ last six matches and in six of Belgium’s last 10 across all competitions.

Belgium vs France Team News

Belgium Team News 

Belgium aren’t expected to make too many changes to the side that secured a 2-0 win over Italy in the 2026-27 UNL opener. However, one change could be the inclusion of Lukebakio in the starting lineup after he scored off the bench against Gli Azzurri.

The Red Devils are missing several players who would likely have been starters had they been selected for the squad. Thibaut Courtois was not called up, leaving Senne Lammens to start between the posts, while Jeremy Doku, Amadou Onana, and Leandro Trossard are all sidelined with injuries.

France Team News

France will be without their best player, Mbappe, due to the knee injury he sustained in the win over Turkiye. Another Real Madrid player, Ibrahima Konate, is also out after sustaining a knee injury in training before the 2026-27 UNL opener.

William Saliba is also out with a back injury, while midfielders Aurelien Tchouameni and Warren Zaire-Emery are both sidelined. Expect Desire Doue to start in Mbappe’s absence.

Belgium vs France: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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