Moneyline PickToronto Maple Leafs (-141)
Player PropWilliam Nylander Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-121)
Total GoalsOver 5.5 Goals (-193)
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames Main Game Info

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames Moneyline Prediction

The Maple Leafs have been trending in the right direction lately and are finally enjoying some consistency amid a four-game winning streak. They recently secured a dominant 7-2 victory over the Edmonton Oilers on Saturday, and they also dispatched the New York Rangers, Columbus Blue Jackets and San Jose Sharks during that streak, covering the -1.5 puck line in three of those wins as well.

The Flames are also on the rise and recently secured a 4-1 win over the Detroit Red Wings on Saturday, extending their winning streak to three games. The goaltending change has provided a massive spark for the Flames, with Devin Cooley winning his last three starts and Calgary allowing just four goals over that three-game stretch. Calgary has won four of its last five right after a five-game losing streak to begin October.

This will be a battle between a Maple Leafs attack that has scored at least four goals in each of its last three wins and a Calgary defence that has allowed just one goal in each of its past two games. The Maple Leafs have a psychological advantage, having won each of their last eight head-to-head meetings against Calgary dating back to the 2022-23 season.

Calgary has the home-ice advantage but has gone 3-3-0 at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the Maple Leafs have won three of their last four on the road, scoring 23 goals in that span. I’m backing Toronto’s high-octane offence to secure the win against a Calgary defence.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames Projected Starting Goalies

Cooley has the better numbers, so Toronto will need its offence, not Bobrovsky, to decide this game.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames Player Prop

William Nylander has notched 18 points (eight goals, 10 assists) in his first 13 appearances while racking up 37 shots on goal. He has reached three shots in eight of 13 games, including two of his last four.

Nylander has a top-six role and is a regular in the first power-play unit, skating alongside elite playmakers such as Auston Matthews and rookie Gavin McKenna. Given his role, his career-high 20:03 TOI/G, and his 2.85 SOG per game this season, Nylander could hit this line once again.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames Total Goals Prediction

The Maple Leafs have the fifth-best offence in the NHL this season, scoring 3.85 goals per game, but they’ve been nearly unstoppable lately, averaging 5.5 goals per contest over their last five outings. The Flames are nowhere near that mark and rank the third-worst attack in the league, with just 2.30 goals per game thus far.

Defensively, the Maple Leafs rank 14th (3.08 GA/GP), while the Flames rank 30th (3.90 GA/P) despite their recent uptick in play with Cooley between the pipes. Cooley has Calgary’s defence tightening, but Bobrovsky’s numbers won’t suppress a Toronto attack in this form.

Five of Calgary’s last eight games have seen at least six goals. Six or more goals has also happened in Toronto’s last three games, as well as in eight of their previous 10.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames Team News and Injury Report

Toronto Maple Leafs Team News and Injury Report

Star playmaker John Tavares (lower body) and defenceman Chris Tanev (upper body) are the main absences. Nick Paul and Dakota Mermis have been the primary replacements for that veteran duo.

This will be the Maple Leafs’ second straight road game, and the third of their last four. Toronto still has to visit Seattle and Vancouver before opening a six-game homestand.

Calgary Flames Team News and Injury Report

The Flames have Samuel Honzek (lower body) and Jonathan Huberdeau (hip) on injured reserve, and neither will be available here. Mikael Backlund is day-to-day with an upper-body injury, and Brennan Othmann will stay in the lineup as long as Backlund is out.

This will be the Flames’ fourth consecutive home game, and they have won their previous three. After that, they’ll play four of their next five games on the road.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames Projected Lines and Power Play Units

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames: Where to Watch (Canada)

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