New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction: Moneyline, Prop & Total Goals (Oct 22)
Calendar icon Updated 22 Oct 11:49

New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction: Moneyline, Prop & Total Goals (Oct 22)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickToronto Maple Leafs (-102)
Player PropAuston Matthews Over 1.5 Points (+170)
Total GoalsOver 5.5 Goals (-167)
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New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Main Game Info

New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline Prediction

The Maple Leafs have bounced back from a three-game losing skid (0-2-1) by beating the San Jose Sharks and Columbus Blue Jackets in their last two outings. Inconsistency has been Toronto’s biggest problem so far, as shown by its 2-2-1 record over its last five contests.

The Rangers have faced adversity after losing star goaltender Igor Shesterkin to a season-ending injury, but they’ve posted an impressive 7-3-1 record through their first 11 games. They snapped a brief two-game losing skid with a win over the Anaheim Ducks in their last outing and have gone 3-1-1 over their last five.

One area where the Rangers have an edge is goaltending, as projected starter Dylan Garand has turned heads with a 4-2-1 record, a 1.85 GAA, and a .929 save percentage. The Maple Leafs will counter with either Sergei Bobrovsky (2.96 GAA, .902 save percentage) or Anthony Stolarz (2.99 GAA, .898 save percentage), but the edge goes to the Rangers.

That said, Garand has started five times in a row, and it’s uncertain how long he can maintain his high level of play. New York has been a bit sloppy defensively lately, as evidenced by its 7-1 loss to the New Jersey Devils on October 15, and a string of road games isn’t helping. The Maple Leafs have won two straight and are at home, while the Rangers’ road record (1-3-1) is a concern.

New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop

Auston Matthews has been one of the hottest players early in the season. He has recorded 18 points (eight goals, 10 assists) in nine appearances in October.

The star centre plays on the top line and the first power-play unit, and his 21:15 TOI/G is his highest mark since the 2020-21 campaign.

After recording over 1.5 points in four of his last six appearances, Matthews could be in line for another productive outing against a Rangers team that has allowed 10 goals over its last three games.

New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Total Goals Prediction

The Maple Leafs score 3.45 goals per game, the eighth-best mark in the league, while the Rangers score 3.00 (17th). Toronto allows 3.09 per game, while New York allows 2.18. Furthermore, six of the Maple Leafs’ last eight outings and three of the Rangers’ last five have gone over 5.5 goals.

The head-to-head record also supports this pick, as three of the teams’ previous four meetings have produced six or more goals. Garand has been excellent, but Toronto has the firepower to test him; expect a back-and-forth clash.

New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Team News

New York Rangers Team News

The Rangers’ main issues are between the pipes, as Shesterkin (knee) and Joonas Korpisalo (lower body) are sidelined, leaving Garand to shoulder a huge workload as the No. 1 goaltender.

The Rangers have no other key players sidelined and will rely on their more productive players to pull off an upset. Alexis Lafreniere stands out with 13 points (seven goals, six assists), while Adam Fox has been a reliable contributor on the blue line with 10 assists.

The Rangers will play on the road for the third time over their last four contests, with another road matchup set for Saturday. The demanding schedule could catch up with New York sooner rather than later.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team News

The Maple Leafs will wait until the last minute to determine whether Chris Tanev (upper body) can return to provide a much-needed boost to the defence. However, among the nine players on the injury list, the biggest loss is John Tavares.

The star centre is expected to remain out until November with a lower-body injury, so Nick Paul should continue to fill his spot in the lineup, even if he can’t match his production.

Toronto returns home after facing Columbus on the road in its last outing, and this will be its fourth home game in its last five. However, the Maple Leafs will be in Toronto only briefly before beginning a four-game road trip in Edmonton on Saturday.

New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Where to Watch (Canada)

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