Florida Panthers vs Ottawa Senators Prediction: Moneyline, Prop & Total Goals (Oct 21)
Calendar icon Published 21 Oct 10:18

Florida Panthers vs Ottawa Senators Prediction: Moneyline, Prop & Total Goals (Oct 21)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickFlorida Panthers (-104)
Player PropMatthew Tkachuk 2+ Points (+175)
Total GoalsOver 5.5 Goals (-122)
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Florida Panthers vs Ottawa Senators Main Game Info

Florida Panthers vs Ottawa Senators Moneyline Prediction

The Senators return home after losing 3-1 to Philadelphia last Saturday. Their recent results haven’t been ideal. They have gone three games without a regulation win, recording a narrow 2-1 shootout victory over the New York Islanders on October 15 between losses to the Flyers and the St. Louis Blues. They’ve gone 3-2-0 across their last five outings.

The Panthers are trending in the right direction and seem to be hitting their stride after Saturday’s 8-3 blowout win over the Seattle Kraken, their third straight victory. They’ve gone 4-2-2 in October, and their only two losses came against playoff contenders, the Minnesota Wild and the Buffalo Sabres.

The Senators are expected to have Linus Ullmark in goal. The 33-year-old veteran is off to an excellent start, going 6-1-0 with a 1.33 GAA and .945 save percentage. The outlook would change dramatically if they started backup Samuel Ersson (0-2-0, 5.26 GAA, .829). The Panthers will counter with Akira Schmid (2-1-1, 3.25 GAA, .878) due to Jacob Markstrom’s injury.

The goaltending edge aside, Florida is the pick. It is in better form heading into this clash, with three straight wins, while Ottawa has won just one of its last three, and that came in a shootout. The Panthers are worth backing on the road at -104.

Florida Panthers vs Ottawa Senators Player Prop

Tkachuk recorded three assists in the 8-3 win over the Kraken last Saturday, pushing his point streak to eight games (14 points). He plays on the top line and the first power-play unit, and his 19:32 TOI/G is his highest mark since the 2022-23 season.

Given his recent point streak, heavy involvement, and success in clearing this line in two of his last three games, Tkachuk should be in line for a strong showing. Ottawa has conceded 11 goals in its last three outings.

Florida Panthers vs Ottawa Senators Total Goals Prediction

The Panthers are scoring 3.33 goals per game this season, ranking ninth in the NHL, but they’re also stout defensively, allowing 2.78 goals (11th). The Senators thrive at preventing goals (2.56, eighth), but their attack is the eighth-worst in the league (2.44, 25th).

Only one of Ottawa’s last six games has gone over 5.5 goals, but that line has hit in three of the Panthers’ last four. Florida’s last five have averaged 7.8, so the volume is there.

Given that three of the last four head-to-head meetings have also produced over 5.5 goals, I’m backing the over. The Panthers have scored 18 goals in their last three games, while the Senators have allowed 11.

Florida Panthers vs Ottawa Senators Team News

Florida Panthers Team News

The Panthers are without three key players due to injury: starting goaltender Jacob Markstrom and top-six forwards Aleksander Barkov and Brad Marchand. Markstrom’s absence means Akira Schmid will be the No. 1 goaltender in the meantime, while players like Lars Eller and Sam Reinhart fill the gaps up front.

This meeting with the Senators marks the beginning of a four-game road trip for the Panthers, who have gone 3-1-2 on the road this season. Florida then visits Pittsburgh on Thursday, the second night of a back-to-back.

Ottawa Senators Team News

The Senators will be without key defenceman Thomas Chabot, who is dealing with an upper-body injury and should be a top-four defenceman when healthy, and top-six forward William Eklund, who is out due to an ankle procedure. Nick Cousins has been filling in for Eklund up front, while Nikolas Matinpalo and Cameron Crotty are seeing more TOI on the blueline without Chabot. Jake Sanderson is expected to return after missing eight games, which softens the loss of Chabot.

This will be the Senators’ fourth of their last six encounters at Canadian Tire Centre, and they’ll play two more here before embarking on a five-game road trip starting October 27. This is the first leg of a back-to-back, as they’ll host the San Jose Sharks on Thursday.

Florida Panthers vs Ottawa Senators: Where to Watch (Canada)

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