| Moneyline Pick | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| Player Prop | Auston Matthews over 1.5 points |
| Same Game Parlay | Maple Leafs Moneyline + Matthews over 1.5 points + Over 6.5 goals |
| Check Live Odds | |
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Saturday, January 17, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
- Arena: Canada Life Centre
- Location: Winnipeg, Canada
- Last match: Toronto Maple Leafs 6 vs 5 Winnipeg Jets (January 1, 2026, NHL Regular Season)
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto look like the stronger team right now, even after their heavy 6-1 loss to Utah. Before that defeat, the Leafs were in excellent form and playing some of their best hockey of the season. They’ve won six of their previous 10 games, scoring 36 goals with ease. One stormy night doesn’t erase that run.
Winnipeg have picked up a few wins, but the underlying numbers still raise concerns. They are missing several key defencemen, and that matters a lot against a fast Toronto attack.
The market still gives Winnipeg respect due to recent wins, but the Jets appear slightly overvalued given their injury issues. If the Leafs dictate pace early, they should be able to outscore the Jets again.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Auston Matthews Over 1.5 Points
Auston Matthews is the standout player to watch in this matchup. He’s in strong form and continues to be the centre of everything Toronto do on offence. Over his last 10 appearances, Matthews has recorded 15 goal contributions, and his confidence on the puck is evident every shift.
His usage supports this prop. Matthews plays heavy minutes at even strength and leads the top power-play unit. Toronto lean on him in close games, especially at home, where he shoots more and attacks the middle of the ice.
Game script helps too. This encounter is expected to be fast and open, similar to the last meeting that ended 6-5. The odds for over 1.5 points still feel fair given his recent production and role. His projected output is closer to two points in this matchup, which gives this prop real value.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline + Auston Matthews Over 1.5 Points + Total Goals Over 6.5
This SGP is built around a fast, high-event game. Both teams play best when the pace is high, and recent meetings between them have produced plenty of goals. The last matchup finished 6-5, and current conditions suggest a similar style.
The anchor leg is the Toronto moneyline. The Maple Leafs have the healthier lineup and the better top-end scoring. Winnipeg’s defensive injuries make it hard for them to slow elite forwards, especially over a full 60 minutes.
Auston Matthews: Toronto Maple Leafs All-Time Goals Leader pic.twitter.com/LrsWzBq1jU
— Toronto Maple Leafs (@MapleLeafs) January 4, 2026
Auston Matthews Over 1.5 points fits this script perfectly. When Toronto win high-scoring contests, Matthews is almost always involved.
Total Goals Over 6.5 ties everything together. Both teams have allowed goals lately, and neither side are built to sit back and protect a small lead. Winnipeg often trade chances, while Toronto push the pace. Even if one of them pull away, late goals and empty-net chances help this total.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Team News
Toronto Maple Leafs Team News
Toronto are still dealing with a few key injuries, but the core of the team remains strong. Auston Matthews and William Nylander are healthy and driving the offence. Nylander has looked sharp since returning and is riding a goal streak.
Several players remain on injured reserve, including Nicholas Robertson, Anthony Stolarz, Chris Tanev, Dakota Joshua, and Dakota Mermis. While these absences affect depth, Toronto have managed to stay structured despite them. Goaltending is stable for now, with Joseph Woll expected to start.
Winnipeg Jets Team News
Winnipeg’s biggest issue is on the blue line. Neal Pionk, Haydn Fleury, and Colin Miller are all out week-to-week, leaving the defence very thin. The Jets have relied heavily on goaltending during this run.
While results have been positive, the workload has been high, and defensive injuries have increased pressure in front of the net.
Winnipeg’s recent wins show effort and resilience, but the underlying issues remain. Against fast teams, they struggle to clear the zone cleanly and often spend long stretches defending.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets: Where to Watch (Canada)
- TV Channel: Sportsnet
- Stream: Sportsnet NOW
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