San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction: Moneyline, Prop & Total Goals (Oct 19)
Calendar icon Updated 19 Oct 14:01

San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction: Moneyline, Prop & Total Goals (Oct 19)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickToronto Maple Leafs (-134)
Player PropMacklin Celebrini Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-118)
Total GoalsOver 6.5 Goals (+100)
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San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs Main Game Info

San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline Prediction

The Maple Leafs have been slumping lately. They extended their losing skid to three games with a 4-1 loss to the New York Islanders on Saturday. Toronto has endured a rough start to the 2026-27 NHL season and has won just three of nine encounters so far (3-4-2), with defence its biggest issue.

The Sharks have also endured a rough patch. They have lost three of their last four outings (1-2-1), including Saturday’s 4-3 shootout defeat to the Detroit Red Wings. San Jose kicked off the season with back-to-back wins but has dropped four of its last six (2-3-1).

Goaltending has been a problem for both Toronto and San Jose. The Maple Leafs have a .883 team save percentage and are expected to start Sergei Bobrovsky (1-3-2, 3.29 GAA, .891 SV%). Meanwhile, the Sharks are likely to counter with Yaroslav Askarov (2-3-0, 3.99 GAA, .848 SV%), having posted a below-average team save percentage of .873.

The Maple Leafs’ main edge is on special teams. They have the seventh-best power play (26.7%) and the best penalty-killing unit (96.4%) in the NHL, while the Sharks rank 11th (23.1%) and 16th (80.8%), respectively. That edge, coupled with home-ice advantage against a side that will play its third straight game on the road, is enough to back the Maple Leafs here.

San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop

Expect Macklin Celebrini to be heavily involved on offence. The star centre has been putting up excellent numbers early in the season, with 11 points in six outings and an average of 4.33 shots on goal per game.

Celebrini’s recent performances are encouraging, too. He recorded seven shots on goal in his last away matchup at Detroit on Saturday and has surpassed this line in three of his six appearances in 2026-27.

Given his firmly established role as the Sharks’ top centre at even strength and on the power play, and his average ice time of 22:50 per game, Celebrini should have enough chances to clear this line. He faces a Toronto team allowing 29.3 shots per game, the seventh-highest rate in the league.

San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs Total Goals Prediction

The Sharks rank 24th in goals scored per game this season (2.63), but their numbers have been trending up, with at least three goals in four of their last five contests. They’ve been below-average defensively, however, ranking 24th in goals allowed per game (3.50), while the Toronto attack is 11th in the league (3.22 goals per game).

The Maple Leafs have also struggled defensively, as their 11th-worst defence in the league allows 3.44 goals per game. They have also been involved in several high-scoring clashes lately, with three of their last four going over the 6.5-goal line.

Both teams’ defensive struggles in the opening weeks make this meeting a potential open contest, especially given the subpar numbers from both goaltending corps. With neither starter in form and San Jose on its fourth game in six days, the Over makes even more sense.

San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs Team News

San Jose Sharks Team News

The Sharks have no notable absences, with only third-string netminder Kyle Keyser and winger Quentin Musty on injured reserve. Both have upper-body injuries, but neither would be a regular in the lineup if healthy. One player to watch for San Jose is rookie forward Ivan Stenberg, who has recorded two multi-point performances in his last three outings and is tied for second on the team with six points (two goals, four assists) in eight games.

The schedule hasn’t been kind to the Sharks lately. This is their third straight game on the road and fourth game in six days. They have three more away encounters remaining on their current road trip.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team News

The Maple Leafs have eight names on the injury list, but none is bigger than star centre John Tavares, who will miss several weeks due to a lower-body injury. He’s expected to be out until late November, with Nick Paul likely to take his place as the second-line centre.

Toronto will play at home for a third straight game, but it’ll hit the road next, with five of its next six contests after the San Jose clash being away from Scotiabank Arena.

San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Where to Watch (Canada)

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