Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction: Moneyline, Prop & Total Goals (Oct 15)
Calendar icon Published 15 Oct 11:25

Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction: Moneyline, Prop & Total Goals (Oct 15)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickToronto Maple Leafs (-113)
Player PropGavin McKenna 1+ assists (+150)
Total GoalsOver 6.5 Goals (+106)
Check Live Odds

Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Main Game Info

Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline Prediction

The Sabres have been trending in the wrong direction lately, dropping three of their last four games (1-2-1), including a 4-3 overtime loss to the Montreal Canadiens on Tuesday. With a 3-3-1 record to open the season, Buffalo has been inconsistent on special teams, as evidenced by its power-play struggles (30th, 11.1%).

The Maple Leafs also hold a 3-3-1 record and have had their share of issues, as they haven’t posted the same result back-to-back. They’re coming off a 5-4 loss to the Utah Mammoth on Tuesday but previously defeated the Colorado Avalanche (W 6-3), so they’ve proven they can compete with top sides. They’re among the league’s elite on special teams and have the best penalty-killing unit (95.8%).

The goaltending matchup is projected to be Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (3.46 GAA, .850 save percentage) against Sergei Bobrovsky (2.97 GAA, .907 save percentage). Toronto has a clear edge in goaltending, with a higher team save percentage (.895 to .850).

The Maple Leafs have answered every loss this season with a win, and if that pattern holds, it’s not hard to see why they’re the favourites here. Toronto has a clear edge over Buffalo in several statistical categories on both ends of the ice and also has home ice against a Sabres team still winless on the road this season (0-1-1).

Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop

Gavin McKenna scored a goal in Tuesday’s 5-4 loss to the Mammoth. That goal extended his point streak to four games, in which he’s posted two goals and three assists.

The rookie seems to be growing into a bigger offensive role with each passing game. As long as McKenna stays on the second power-play unit, he has a strong chance of adding to his three assists during the streak since Buffalo has the third-worst penalty-killing unit in the league at 60.9%.

Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Total Goals Prediction

The Maple Leafs rank ninth in the league in scoring (3.43 goals per game), and while the Sabres are 22nd (2.71), they’re due for a bounce-back, as they rank 10th in scoring chances (155), slightly ahead of Toronto (12th, 149).

Neither team has been thriving defensively, with both Toronto (3.14, 20th) and Buffalo (3.57, 23rd) ranking in the bottom half of the league in goals allowed. Luukkonen and Bobrovsky are the projected starters, though neither has been confirmed. Still, with both teams allowing more than 3.10 goals per game, neither side is known for its defensive prowess, boosting the chances of a high-scoring contest.

With Toronto’s last four games hitting the over on the 6.5-goal market, backing it at plus odds looks like a strong play. Three of the teams’ four regular-season meetings in 2025-26 also produced seven or more total goals.

Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Team News

Buffalo Sabres Team News

Jason Zucker (abdomen) and Rasmus Dahlin (upper body) are game-time decisions for Thursday. Zucker had 45 points (24 goals, 21 assists) in 62 regular-season appearances for Buffalo last year, so losing him would hurt the middle six, while Dahlin is a top-pairing blueliner. Louis Crevier has been stepping up on defence for Dahlin, while Jack Quinn has been replacing Zucker offensively.

Scheduling-wise, the Sabres are in the midst of a three-game road trip that began Tuesday and ends Saturday in Montreal. Five of their next six games after Thursday are on the road, where they’ve gone 0-1-1 so far.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team News

The Maple Leafs have six players on the injured list, including three notable names: winger Dakota Joshua (abdomen), defenceman Chris Tanev (upper body), and centre Max Domi (back). Tanev and Domi are expected to fill depth roles in the middle of the lineup, but Toronto’s core remains intact.

This clash against the Sabres marks the beginning of a three-game homestand for Toronto. Including this matchup, four of the Maple Leafs’ next five games will be at Scotiabank Arena, where the team has gone 2-2-0.

Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Where to Watch (Canada)

Disclaimer: The content provided on this page, including all hockey predictions, odds, and related information, is for entertainment and informational purposes only. While we strive to ensure accuracy and timeliness, we do not guarantee the correctness or reliability of any predictions, data, or information presented here. 

Responsible Betting: Betting should be fun and enjoyable, not a solution to financial problems. Always gamble within your means. The outcomes of sporting events are unpredictable, and there is always a risk of losing your stake. Only bet with money you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, seek help from a professional organization. For support, visit https://canadasafetycouncil.org/gambling-addiction/

Cookie Notice

This site uses cookies. Find out more about use of cookies in our privacy policy.

Cookie Policy