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Porto vs Arsenal predictionFebruary 21, 3:00 PM ET
Porto odds+420
Arsenal odds-143
Draw+280
Over\Under2.5 +102 / -121

Porto vs Arsenal. Shape of the Teams

On Wednesday, Porto will host Arsenal in the first leg of the round of 16 of the Champions League. The Gunners breezed through Group B, 4 points ahead of runners-up PSV. The Dragons finished second in their group after Barcelona but before Shakhtar Donetsk and Antwerp FC.

After winning the Champions League in 2004, Porto have not been able to repeat this success. Although they found themselves in the same group as Barcelona, Porto secured second place thanks to a thrilling 5-3 victory over Shakhtar in the final round.

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The Portuguese were eliminated from the Champions League in seven of the Dragons’ last eight Champions League matches against English teams. They will be looking to break their English curse against Arsenal.  

On the other hand, Arsenal have returned to the Champions League and brilliantly took 1st place in their group. After taking second place in the Premier League last year, Mikel Arteta’s men are back in the fight for the title, now being two points behind leaders Liverpool. 

Porto vs Arsenal Main Match Info

Porto vs Arsenal Prediction, Odds

Both Porto and Arsenal have been performing well offensively. Porto’s average of 1.91 goals across all tournaments, with an even more impressive 2.5 goals per game in the Champions League group stage, tells you everything you need to know about their attacking prowess. 

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Mikel Arteta’s philosophy always aims to attack, focusing on high pressure while squeezing their opponents. Arsenal scored 2.2 goals per game this season and 2.67 in the Champions League group stage, slightly higher than Porto’s average.

The form of players like Bukayo Saka, who scored a brace against Burnley, and Leandro Trossard will be a significant threat to Porto’s defenders. Matched with the midfield mastery of Declan Rice, who controls the tempo of each game efficiently, they are a force to be reckoned with. 

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The Gunners will definitely create their own chances, but Porto, drawing energy from their home supporters, should also be able to create chances in the attack. Given the teams’ knack for scoring goals, I think both will score in the upcoming fixture.

Porto vs Arsenal Betting Tip

In 2024, Arsenal grabbed five victories in a row in the Premier League with a total scoreline of 21-2. Arteta’s team are vying for the Premier League title and are also among the Champions League favourites. 

However, Arsenal’s group stage showed some vulnerabilities. The Gunners had problems in away games against Lens (1-2) and PSV (1-1). Over the entire season, Arsenal’s overall season record includes seven defeats, five of which occurred in away games, indicating an opportunity for Porto. 

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However, Mikel Arteta’s side is considered the favourite. I think in the first match, Porto will not yield without putting up resilience against a well-performing Arsenal. Porto enjoy strong home support at Dragão and have an excellent home record. 

In the 2023/24 season, Sergio Conceição’s men lost only twice in 15 matches at home. One of the defeats was against Barcelona (0-1), and the other was in the Primeira Liga against Estoril (0-1). I think the home advantage will be a huge factor and that Porto will manage to avoid a loss. 


Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.


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