Odds via Tonybet

Lazio vs Bayern Munich predictionFebruary 14, 3:00 p.m. ET
Lazio odds+400
Bayern Munich odds-148
Over\Under2.5 -136 \ +114

Lazio vs Bayern Munich. Shape of the Teams

The Champions League is back after a two-month hiatus with the start of the playoffs in which Lazio will take on a struggling Bayern at the Olimpico. 

Bayern breezed through the group stage, coming out on top in a group with Copenhagen, Galatasaray, and Man United, collecting a total of 16 points. 

However, Thomas Tuchel’s team will arrive at Olimpico after a crushing 0-3 defeat against Leverkusen. For the first time in 11 years, Bayern risks ending the season without the Bundesliga crown. 

Additionally, Bayern’s woes are increased by a lengthy injury list. Key players like Alphonso Davies, Konrad Laimer, Kingsley Coman and Serge Gnabry are all sidelined for the match against Lazio.

On the other side, Lazio approaches this match with a relatively healthy squad, missing only Mattia Zaccagni. The Eagles entered the playoffs by finishing second in their group, 4 points behind group winners Atletico Madrid. Finding the back of the net only seven times in the group stage, Lazio scored the fewest goals of all the teams that made it to the 1/8 finals. 

The difference in squad depth between these two teams is clear, but Bayern’s recent performances suggest Lazio could indeed secure a positive outcome at the Olimpico.

Lazio vs Bayern Munich Main Match Info

Lazio vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Odds

As the disappointing performance against Leverkusen illustrated, Bayern are dealing with massive problems. The team recently showed both defensive frailties and a lack of cohesion in attack.

Previous losses to Werder (0-1) and Eintracht Frankfurt (5-1) only add to the concern that Bayern, under Thomas Tuchel, has lost some of its traditional dominance and resilience.

Given Bayern’s current shape, Lazio seems to be a tough opponent, especially when playing at the Olimpico. Maurizio Sarri’s squad has shown strong form at home this season, securing an impressive record of ten wins and four draws and conceding just two losses.

What’s important is that Lazio lost in only one of their 16 home matches by more than one goal, making it challenging to beat them by a significant margin.

Considering Bayern’s current issues and Lazio’s solid home performance, it’s reasonable to predict that Lazio will not only be competitive but could also edge out a result against the struggling German giants. I prefer to take Lazio’s victory with a handicap (+1.5).

Lazio vs Bayern Munich Betting Tip

Lazio have scored an average of 1.13 goals in home matches and have scored in 12 of its 16 games. It’s reasonable to expect that Lazio will find the back of the net against a Bayern that is missing several important players on the defensive line and will have to play with an experimental defence. 

Despite not reaching his usual high standards in Serie A this season with just six goals, Ciro Immobile remains deadly in front of goal. His current scoring record might seem modest for a striker of his calibre, yet his ability to threaten defences hasn’t diminished.

Against a team like Bayern Munich, Immobile’s experience and knack for finding scoring opportunities mean he is one of the players to watch.  

Tuchel’s Bayern Munich has been vulnerable defensively, conceding goals in four of their five previous matches, despite facing only one high-profile team like Leverkusen during this stretch. 

Given these defensive issues, I think Lazio will likely adopt an offensive approach at home rather than sitting back for counterattacks. With Maurizio Sarri, known for his proactive style, at the helm, it seems likely that Lazio will score at least once in this match. 

Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.

More analytics on soccer: