Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/04/2024

Odds via Tonybet

Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC	April 14, 2024, 7:30 PM EDT
Charlotte FC odds	-148
Toronto FC odds	+350
Draw	+280
Over\Under	2.5 -124/-112

Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC. Shape of the Teams

Given the underwhelming form of both Toronto and Charlotte, this is one of those clashes that likely will not be decided by which team plays best but by which team is able to minimize their errors.

Toronto’s record of the last seven games is a mixed bag coming into this clash, with three victories, three defeats, and one draw. This overview, however, doesn’t fully capture their performance in the most recent three matches, during which they have managed just one win – against Atlanta.

Toronto’s losses were significant: They lost 1-3 against Kansas City and were overwhelmed 4-0 by fellow Canadian team Vancouver last week. As a result, Toronto are now floating in the middle of the league standings with thirteen points.

Charlotte’s season hasn’t been much better. Sitting in 9th place, they are not far from the bottom of the MLS standings. Their record since the start of the MLS is just slightly worse than Toronto’s: two wins, two draws, and three defeats.

Like Toronto, Charlotte has remained winless in their last two games. Their last victory was three matchdays ago when they won 2-0 against Colombus at home. Interestingly enough, in their last two games – which ended in a defeat and a draw – Charlotte conceded a goal during the final minutes. This indicates a potential lapse in concentration after enduring pressure for extended periods for games to come.

Fortunately for Charlotte, who will be hosting the game, Toronto has only managed to win once in away games (1-0 vs New England). Toronto lost away against Vancouver (4-0) and against NYC (2-1) and could not find a victory against Cincinnati (0-0).

Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC Main Match Info

Date and Kickoff Time: Sunday, 14 April, 7:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Bank of America Stadium
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina (USA)

Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC, Prediction, Odds

Pick: Charlotte FC to win
Odds: -148 (Tonybet)

Betting odds lean towards Charlotte, and it’s no shocker. The teams are evenly matched, often able to hold their ground against higher-ranked teams but unable to capitalize against their peers. Additionally, the game takes place on Charlotte’s home turf.

When Toronto last visited Charlotte, it was sent back home with a 3-0 spanking. Despite Toronto snatching a narrow 1-0 victory at home barely a month ago, Toronto’s worrying offensive record speaks in Charlotte’s favour.

Toronto’s lack of decisiveness in front of the goal has been troubling, with a record that’s shy of netting more than two goals in any match. Coupled with a defence that’s been leaking goals due to miscommunication, it is likely that Charlotte will find the back of the net on their own patch.

The North Carolina-based team tends to use a four-at-the-back system, which works well against a Toronto side grappling with the weaknesses of a three-at-the-back formation.

The gaping hole left by Lorenzo Insigne’s absence due to injury looms large over Toronto, and it is quite obvious that the Canadians will miss Insigne’s attacking flair. The only remaining major leader up front is Bernardeschi, whose goal-scoring prowess has never been at the same level as that of his Italian colleague.

Much of Toronto’s squad planning revolved around Insigne, and their coach will have to solve that problem, as their current attacking setup is struggling to make waves in the MLS.

Therefore, the main question is whether Toronto should continue fielding its current formation, with Bernardeschi pushed too far forward from his more customary supporting role.

Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC Betting Tip

Pick: Charlotte to lead by one goal
Odds: +245 (Tonybet)

It wouldn’t be fair to point fingers at Toronto’s offensive shortcomings without addressing Charlotte’s similar struggles. They, too, have never lit up the scoreboard more than twice in a game, while the only occasion on which they did score two was against Colombus (2-0).

Many of Charlotte’s games are decided by tiny margins – explaining a record with one goal as a major differential, whether in draws or defeats. Unlike Toronto, Charlotte has rarely conceded much either, hinting at a potentially tight contest. However, the chances are slightly tilted in their favour due to the backing of their home crowd.

To our sea of Black and Blue, we can’t wait to see you 👑💙#ForTheCrown pic.twitter.com/b9EM1UkzOK
— Charlotte FC (@CharlotteFC) April 10, 2024

One way to see that is through the popularized metric expected goals (xG). Using this stat we can see that away from home, Charlotte’s attacking threat diminishes significantly, barely breaching the 1xG mark, like in their recent outing against New England.

However, the script flips at home, where they’ve notched up 1.5 xG and even 2xG in recent games, indicating increased confidence on familiar turf (as per FotMob).

This difference in confidence could very well be the deciding factor in a match predicted to be tightly contested.

Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.