CF Montreal vs Inter Miami Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/05/2024

Odds via Tonybet

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami. Shape of the Teams

After a 1-1 draw against Forge in the Canadian Championship, CF Montreal is still on the hunt to find its rhythm. The Canadians have gone four games without a single victory, losing to Nashville (4-1) and drawing against Colombus (0-0) and Orlando (2-2). Despite promising early-season form, ‘L’Impact’ has seen a sharp dip and plunged to 20th place in the MLS table.

On the flip side, Florida’s Inter Miami is riding high with three back-to-back MLS victories. Curiously enough, despite often scoring more than three goals, Inter Miami’s backline remains a notable concern. Tata Martino needs to address the defensive lapses that prevent them from keeping clean sheets. 

Nonetheless, the Floridians will travel to Montreal brimming with confidence after thrashing the New York Red Bulls (6-2). While six goals is way above average, there is no doubt that Inter Miami is a high-scoring side. Over the past four games they netted a staggering number of 16 goals, including putting four past New England and three each against Nashville and Kansas City.

Meanwhile, Montreal has never won a game with a larger goal difference than one. The Canadians are unable to finish games convincingly and suffer from a leaky defence. This often forces L’Impact to scramble back in defence before attacking. 

Considering all these factors, the encounter promises excitement but will likely pose a huge challenge for the hosts.

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami Main Match Info

• Date and Kickoff Time: Saturday, 11 April, 7:30 PM EDT
• Stadium: Saputo Stadium
• Location: Montreal, Canada
• Last match: Inter Miami vs CF Montreal: 2-3 (March 10, 2024, MLS)

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami, Prediction, Odds

• Pick: Inter Miami victory
• Odds: -113 (Tonybet)

MLS fans might recall Montreal’s unexpected 3-2 victory in Florida when Inter Miami played without Messi. The Argentinean veteran unlocked the game against New York, but whether he will play against Montreal remains questionable. 

Even when Inter Miami initially played without Messi, they fared reasonably well, and a Messi-inclusive Miami side would be heavily favoured. Confidence is high in the Floridian camp, and in soccer, sometimes a little belief is all it takes to flip results.

Inter Miami’s major point of attack is expected to be running around Montreal’s leaky backline. Montreal plays with a three-at-the-back setup, and Nashville ( deploying a five-at-the-back) demonstrated how to expose these gaps by overloading the central areas. This imbalance is easy to create but highly effective against Montreal’s defensive setup. 

Inter Miami should be looking to attack from the first minutes – as L’Impact tends to fold back, hiding like a turtle in its shell. In the first half against Nashville, Montreal only registered 0.18xG (according to Sofascore), indicating their limited offensive threat in the opening 45 minutes.

Confidence plays a big role in one-on-one situations, and Inter Miami has it in spades, unlike the hosts. This type of insecurity against threats from wide areas is a point Tata Martino’s team should exploit. Unfortunately for David Beckham’s side, Jordi Alba is likely to be unavailable while Redondo and Farias are still out. 

✨5️⃣ No caption needed 😮‍💨 pic.twitter.com/HzXc3uLlre

— Inter Miami CF (@InterMiamiCF) May 6, 2024

However, the recent inclusion of Benjamin Cremaschi after an early injury is good news for the Floridians. His substitute appearances have shown how much he was missed. Even if Lionel Messi and Suarez sit this one out, Campana remains a reliable attacking threat Inter Miami can count on to deliver goals.

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami Betting Tip

• Pick: Inter Miami to open the score
• Odds: -154 (Tonybet) 

There are not many certainties in football, but given Montreal’s recent form and lack of confidence, Inter Miami is likely the team to push for the three points. 

Playing against a weak defence with high confidence, the visitors are expected to seize the initiative and find the back of the net first. This is the hallmark of a team fighting for the top spot, which Inter Miami currently holds.

✨3️⃣ Second assist of the night pic.twitter.com/hbdw8JuqwT

— Inter Miami CF (@InterMiamiCF) May 6, 2024

Montreal may have won the first encounter earlier this year, but the two teams have since taken very different paths. Despite the home advantage, it is tough to see the Canadians taking the three points.

Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.

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