Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain, Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 01/05/2024
Calendar icon Updated 01 May 03:17

Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain, Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 01/05/2024

Kai Edvard Iliev Kai Edvard Iliev

Odds via Tonybet

Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-GermainMay 1, 2024, 3:00 PM EDT
Borussia Dortmund odds+179
Paris Saint-Germain odds+144
Draw+270
Over\Under3 -125/+106

Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain. Shape of the Teams

While Bayern and Real Madrid will fight a strategic battle, this Champions League semi-final will likely be more open. Borussia Dortmund and Paris Saint-Germain are not particularly renowned for their defensive prowess, and the forwards’ sharpness could very well determine the outcome. 

Luis Enrique’s team will enter the clash as the favourite, but Dortmund should not be underestimated. Despite hitting a rough patch in the last few weeks with a 4-1 loss against RB Leipzig and a 1-1 draw against Bundesliga champions Leverkusen, the Yellows and Blacks have demonstrated the ability to rally, as evidenced by their comeback against Atlético Madrid.

However, Dortmund’s recent form suggests a vulnerability, especially in scoring and defending against top teams. This pattern could be problematic as they face a formidable PSG.

Paris Saint-Germain have just secured their twelfth domestic title, which may bolster their confidence for the game against Dortmund. Although  PSG will miss key players like Sergio Rico, Layvin Kurzawa, and Presnel Kimpembe, Luis Enrique has the luxury of fielding his strongest lineup otherwise.

Dortmund, however, faces more challenges with injuries to Bensebaini, Haller, Malen, and possibly Mats Hummels. Hummels’ absence would be especially troublesome, as his defensive leadership is crucial for containing threats like Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé.

Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain Match Info

Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain, Odds

Making any predictions about the PSG versus Dortmund matchup is a tricky affair. In theory, PSG is the favourite due to their heavy attacking artillery up front. However, they carry the burden of their Champions League aspirations unfulfilled despite their galaxy of stars.

Although the two teams have already met in the Champions League group stages – with PSG being superior – quite a few things have changed since then, and it’s likely that we will see a completely different game. 

PSG’s vulnerability isn’t just on the pitch but also in the psychological arena, particularly under high-pressure conditions – a chink in their armour that Dortmund’s intense home atmosphere at Signal Iduna Park could exploit. Known for its raucous support and memorable tifos, Dortmund’s home ground could play a decisive role in unsettling the Parisians.

Even if PSG manages to overcome Dortmund, they shouldn’t cheer too early. In the UCL final, they would face the winner of Bayern vs. Real Madrid, arguably the competition’s favourites.

Tactically, PSG thrives in open-play scenarios where the speed of Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé can be devastating. However, a more congested game could shift the spotlight to players like Barcola, who shone in tight spaces against FC Barcelona.

Dortmund would be wise to maintain a semi-open game. This would allow Sabitzer to dictate the pace and enable Jadon Sancho and Niclas Füllkrug to exploit tactical shifts. Much like Paris Saint-Germain, the Germans are known for their weak mentality when it matters most – particularly in holding onto leads in crucial moments. 

For PSG, capitalizing on their right flank could be key. With Achraf Hakimi, Warren Zaire-Emery, and Dembélé linking up, Dortmund’s best defensive bet is to build a defensive fortress around Hummels and Schlotterbeck, ensuring they anchor a robust defensive line to thwart PSG’s attacks.

Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain Betting Tip

Barcola is a player that most of the media does not discuss and is often overlooked by fans. Although Mbappé and Dembélé were in the spotlight against Barcelona, Barcola’s role triggered Araújo’s red card against Barcelona. 

However, his influence extends far beyond that single incident. He has consistently demonstrated his ability to navigate tightly packed defences, showing a tactical maturity that belies his youth. His skill in one-on-one situations isn’t just about flair – it’s a critical component of PSG’s offensive strategy.

He often initiates key plays by breaking down defences with his dribbling. Against Barcelona, he was the major reason Barcelona struggled before the red card. This reflects his season as one of the most adaptable players in the frontline.

Looking ahead to the UCL clash with Dortmund, Barcola could indeed be the difference-maker. If Dortmund tightens their play to counter Dembélé’s quick runs, Barcola’s talent for spotting and exploiting openings in their defence will be key. His knack for navigating crowded areas could be exactly what PSG needs to break down the German team’s strategies.

Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.

More analytics on soccer:

Cookie Notice

This site uses cookies. Find out more about use of cookies in our privacy policy.

Cookie Policy