I’m back to guide you through the upcoming Premier League matchweek with expert insights and analysis. Here are my five best bets for this weekend, beginning with an intriguing match between the Cottagers and Red Devils.

Fulham vs. Manchester United (Saturday, November 4)

Fulham vs. Man Utd feels like a game with huge ramifications. Erik ten Hag is under unreal pressure and will be hoping three points might get him off the hot seat.

Sadly for him, I don’t see that happening. His team was absolutely awful against Man City in the Derby last weekend, and their pathetic display against a second-string Newcastle team in the Carabao Cup on Wednesday made them look like a team that has given up.

It’s hard to pick any players who have improved under ten Hag, and it’s clear from recent games that his players aren’t playing for him anymore. That gives me a lot of confidence that Fulham should escape with at least a draw at Craven Cottage. I recommend taking the double chance to get either a draw or Fulham win to increase your chances of getting a nice early win to start your Saturday off well.

Pick: Fulham or Draw – Double Chance (-139)

Newcastle vs. Arsenal (Saturday, November 4)

In Callum Wilson and Eddie Nketiah, you have two of the most in-form strikers in the Premier League, as the pair scored a combined five goals last weekend. They play for two of the league’s best attacking teams and you can already feel the goals piling up on Saturday.

These teams have played a combined 20 Premier League games so far this season and Over 2.5 goals has landed in 14 of those games. It’s been won evenly too, with Newcastle and Arsenal having Over 2.5 goals in seven of their 10 games.

Newcastle are tied for the Premier League’s highest scoring team, with Arsenal tied for second place. With that much attacking talent on display we should have a very good chance of goals here and I can see both teams getting on the scoresheet in a thriller.

Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-111)

Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa (Sunday, November 5)

A lot has been said about the impact that Unai Emery has had at Aston Villa, but I personally don’t feel like it’s been spoken about enough. What they achieved last season was great and now they sit fifth in the Premier League and are playing some of the most attractive soccer I’ve ever seen from a Villa team.

They’ve won four of their last five and face a Nottingham Forest team who haven’t picked up a win in their past five games. There’s a huge gulf in class between both teams and I can’t see Nottingham Forest getting anything from this game, even in front of their home crowd. Back Aston Villa to continue doing what they’ve done all season and pick up another impressive win.

Pick: Aston Villa to win (-122)

Luton vs. Liverpool (Sunday, November 5)

There aren’t many players in the Premier League as exciting as Darwin Nunez. The Uruguayan has felt like an enigma since arriving at Liverpool last summer. He’s capable of scoring the most beautiful goals while also missing the easiest opportunities available, all wrapped up in a hot-headed package who can combust at any moment.

He’s improved this season and in recent weeks looks like the player that Liverpool signed from Benfica. He’s been lethal in front of goal and looks like a real menace for opposition defenses. He’s scored three goals in his past three games, even managing to get on the scoresheet on Wednesday against Bournemouth in the Carabao Cup, a game in which he started on the bench. He’s in incredible form and faces a Luton team who have conceded an average of two goals per game.

Pick: Darwin Nunez to score (-122)

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Tottenham vs. Chelsea (Monday, November 6)

I’m targeting a big derby between Tottenham and Chelsea for my final best bet of the Premier League weekend. There is no love lost between these two clubs and Spurs fans will be overjoyed with their start to the season, especially with Chelsea struggling.

Through 10 Premier League games we’ve seen Spurs score 22 goals in their unbeaten start. Most impressive is that they’ve scored two or more goals in all but one of those games. They’re going to be confident here, playing in front of their home crowd against a Chelsea team who have conceded two goals in each of their past two Premier League games.

Tottenham Over 1.5 Goals  (-111)

Matchweek 11 parlay odds: +1956

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