Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, Preview, Team News and Lineups 25.06.2025
Calendar icon Updated 24 Jun 19:50

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, Preview, Team News and Lineups 25.06.2025

Alexander Yaremenko Alexander Yaremenko
Odds via Tonybet
Toronto FC vs New York Red BullsWednesday, June 25, 2025, 7:30 PM EDT
Toronto FC odds +210
New York Red Bulls odds +125
Draw+220
Both teams to scoreYes -127, No -109

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls Preview and Team News

Toronto FC Team News

Robin Fraser’s side are going through a troubling stretch of form. What started as a month of promise with a stunning 6-1 away win over rivals CF Montréal turned into a series of setbacks. 

Toronto have now suffered three straight defeats at BMO Field, including 1-2 losses to both Nashville SC and the Philadelphia Union and a 0-2 shutout at the hands of Charlotte FC. The home crowd’s early optimism has quickly faded.

TFC’s tactical identity is built around the creative play of Lorenzo Insigne and Federico Bernardeschi. When the Italian duo finds their rhythm, they can make a difference through quick dribbles, vertical passing, and long-range shots. But when they’re isolated or tightly marked, Toronto struggle to create much beyond sterile possession.

Additionally, the team remain vulnerable in defensive transition, often committing numbers forward during build-up play without providing enough coverage behind the ball. Nashville, Philadelphia, and Charlotte have all exposed this weakness with well-timed counters.

On the injury front, Toronto are without several key pieces. Richie Laryea, Nicksoen Gomis, Deandre Kerr, and Kobe Franklin are all sidelined.

Toronto FC predicted lineup vs New York Red Bulls (3-4-2-1): Johnson; Wingo, Monlouis, Petretta; Junior, Flores, Coello, Spicer; Insigne, Bernardeschi; Brynhildsen.

New York Red Bulls Team News

Under Sandro Schwarz, the New York Red Bulls have doubled down on their trademark identity: relentless high pressing and vertical transitions. They remain one of the most difficult sides to play against, not because of their unpredictability, but because their execution is so consistent. You know what’s coming, but stopping it is another story.

Their recent results underline this dynamic. At home, they’ve been dominant, with a 2-0 win over Atlanta United and a 4-2 victory against Charlotte demonstrating their control in high-tempo environments. However, the squad continue to struggle in away matches, as evident in their 2-1 loss to Austin FC. 

This contrast defines their season: the Red Bulls are one of the strongest home teams in MLS, but among the most beatable on the road.

Tactically, the formula is clear. They press high as a unit, aiming to win the ball in the opponent’s defensive third and immediately create scoring chances. Emil Forsberg plays a key role in connecting these moments. Drifting between the lines, he serves as the creative engine once possession is recovered. 

Up front, Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting has delivered in crucial situations, scoring 10 goals from varied positions in the box and benefiting from the chaos their press generates.

The Red Bulls’ strength lies in their system. Their pressing structure is synchronized, and their energy is relentless. But that same aggression can backfire. When opponents bypass the first wave of pressure through quick wide combinations or direct vertical balls, space opens up behind the back line. Composed teams that can escape that initial trap often find large gaps to exploit.

Injury-wise, the Red Bulls will be without Felipe Carballo, Dylan Nealis, and Lewis Morgan.

New York Red Bulls predicted lineup vs Toronto FC (4-3-2-1): Coronel; Duncan, Eile, Hack, Valencia; Carmona, Edelman, Stroud; Harper, Forsberg; Choupo-Moting.

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls Main Match Info

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, Odds

This is a tactically nuanced matchup. Toronto will benefit from the comfort of playing at BMO Field, but their commitment to building out from the back leaves them exposed against high-pressing teams like the Red Bulls.

New York’s system thrives on disrupting possession-heavy sides. Toronto have the technical quality to bypass pressure, especially through Insigne and Bernardeschi, but recent matches have shown they can make mistakes under constant pressure. In this regard, the visitors have a slight advantage.

Still, the Red Bulls have struggled to translate their intensity into results on the road, managing just one away win all season. Their pressing works in moments, but it can also open them up when bypassed. Toronto will have their chances, but they’re likely to concede some as well.

The most probable scenario? A game that swings in both directions, with neither team fully in control. A draw is a very realistic outcome, but if one side manages to gain the upper hand tactically, it will likely be the Red Bulls.

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls Betting Tip

New York’s pressing system creates chaos by design. When it functions, they win the ball high and generate chances. However, when broken, it leaves them vulnerable, especially during transitions. This volatility leads to a high volume of opportunities on both sides of the pitch.

Toronto may be inconsistent, but their front line has the quality to capitalize on even brief defensive lapses. Insigne and Bernardeschi don’t need control – they need just one moment. And against an aggressive press, that moment often comes.

Given TFC’s defensive fragility and New York’s all-action style, a clean sheet for either side seems highly unlikely. This match has all the ingredients for an open, end-to-end affair, where both teams can find the net.

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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