Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/05/2024

Odds via Tonybet

Toronto FC vs New York City FC	May 11, 2024, 7:30 PM EDT
Toronto FC odds	+170
New York City FC odds	+131
Draw	+250
Over\Under	2.5 -112/-125

Toronto FC vs New York City FC. Shape of the Teams.

Despite differing positions in the MLS standings, this matchup could prove to be more exciting than most would expect when only looking at the stats.

New York City’s tally of 14 points from eleven games isn’t particularly impressive. However, they claimed as many victories in the last three games as Toronto, who are near the league’s top spots.

Interestingly, Toronto is not exactly the favourite either, securing most of their victories against weaker teams like New England Revolution, Orlando City, and FC Dallas. New York City’s record is slightly better, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Toronto has three wins and two defeats. Additionally, the game takes place on Toronto’s home turf, which could tip the scales in their favour.

👀 https://t.co/PnOgoJKPFt
— Toronto FC (@TorontoFC) May 7, 2024

However, injuries remain a major issue for Toronto as they miss key players like Lorenzo Insigne, Richie Laryea, Shane O’Neill, and Brandon Servania. The Canadians have only a few defenders left, and Raoul Petretta joined the growing injury list after the match against Dallas. Head coach John Herdman faces a challenging test in managing these absences, and how he will react will tell a lot about his coaching acumen under pressure.

New York City, on the other hand, can field a fully fit squad – a major psychological boost despite their 2-0 defeat against Colorado.

Toronto FC vs New York City FC Main Match Info

Date and Kickoff Time: May 11, 7:30 PM EDT
Stadium: BMO Field
Location: Toronto, Canada
Last match: New York City FC vs Toronto FC: 2-1 (March 17, 2024, MLS)

Toronto FC vs New York City FC, Prediction, Odds

Pick: Toronto FC to win
Odds: +250 (Tonybet)

Despite the circumstances, Toronto has remained faithful to their standard three-at-the-back formation, even though it resulted in some questionable losses in April. This formation will be a focal point during the match, as New York City prefers a four-at-the-back setup. More importantly, the New Yorkers use an offensive quartet with a single striker leading the line.

On the other hand, Toronto’s injuries and suspensions at the back have often forced the Canadians to rotate players in their defensive trio, often creating confusion due to a lack of chemistry. Another forced adjustment due to injuries might leave Toronto’s three-at-the-back prone to New York City’s wide overloads – a theme likely to define the match.

Thanks for rocking with us in the rain ☔️
🤝 @capalino
— New York City FC (@newyorkcityfc) May 6, 2024

Offensively, Toronto will rely on either Bernardeschi (from wide positions) or Prince-Osei Owusu. Owusu has been a major goal contributor during Lorenzo Insigne’s long absence due to injury.

This leaves New York City with two clear targets to man-mark in an attempt to silence Toronto’s attack. The same cannot be said the other way around unless Toronto’s midfielders extend their defensive duties to contain New York City’s fluid forward line.

New York City tends to cede possession from the second quarter onwards to the opposing team, which explains their terrible defensive record. In contrast, the New Yorkers prefer to strike back in the last quarters of both halves. This means that Toronto will have to be careful with their shaky backline, which hasn’t faced much testing in their last three wins. However, the match in Toronto will be vastly different.

BACK TO BACK 📈 pic.twitter.com/RTsfSh40LI
— Toronto FC (@TorontoFC) May 5, 2024

Curiously, New York has won the most recent encounters between these teams. Despite their potential, their offensive quartet often squanders chances in the final third – as seen in the 0-2 loss against Colorado.

The outcome of this game will depend on how each team responds to the opening goal. Although both teams may have a great record in the recent games, these have not been true tests against the MLS upper echelon. Both teams tend to panic when conceding first. But what happens when they face each other? The answer will unfold next Saturday.

Toronto FC vs New York City FC Betting Tip

Pick: Toronto FC to open the score
Odds: +108 (Tonybet)

While New York’s offensive quartet often shows flashes of brilliance, they struggle to sustain pressure. This recurring theme sees the team fold back after the first fifteen minutes. Against Toronto, this lack of consistency is something the New Yorkers won’t get away with.

However, given the state of their defence, it remains a question if it would be enough for Toronto to win this game. Still, given Federico Bernardeschi’s current form, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Toronto find the net first.