Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (Nov 2)
Calendar icon Published 02 Nov 11:31

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (Nov 2)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickCleveland Cavaliers (-162)
Player PropDonovan Mitchell Under 2.5 Three-Pointers (-124)
Same Game Parlay (Bet Builder)Cavaliers -4.5 + Under 228.5 Points + Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 29.5 Points (+750)
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Main Match Info

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Moneyline Prediction

The Cavaliers (4-2) enter this matchup fresh off a 136-111 win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday. That victory was a bounce-back performance after their 114-111 loss to the Atlanta Hawks on Thursday, and they’ve now won three of their last four.

The Thunder are also 4-2, but they’re coming off back-to-back losses to the Dallas Mavericks (120-96) and the Houston Rockets (119-98). Oklahoma City is missing several key contributors due to injuries, so its recent dip in form isn’t surprising.

Cleveland’s offence has helped it win four of its first six outings, averaging the second-most points in the NBA at 121.0 per game. The Thunder, by contrast, are averaging the second-fewest points (106.5). They’ve also failed to reach the 100-point mark three times, including in each of their previous two losses.

The Cavaliers rank fourth in rebounds (48.2) and assists (28.7) per game, making them one of the league’s strongest teams beyond scoring. They should be able to take advantage of a depleted Oklahoma City squad playing its third consecutive road game. The Thunder also rank fifth-worst in field goal percentage (43.9%), which further strengthens Cleveland’s case.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Player Prop

Donovan Mitchell remains the Cavaliers’ go-to scorer, despite sharing the floor with James Harden and Evan Mobley. However, even if he delivers a strong scoring performance, he may not be as productive from beyond the arc.

Mitchell has hit two or fewer triples in five of his six appearances this season, including Saturday’s win over Milwaukee, when he went 2-for-4 from deep. He’s shooting just 37.8% from three-point range while averaging 6.2 attempts per game. That average is a career low for Mitchell, suggesting he may not have enough shooting volume to surpass this line.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Same Game Parlay

I’m backing the Cavaliers to cover the -4.5 spread against a depleted Thunder team that’s struggling at both ends of the court. Cleveland has covered this spread in each of its last two wins, while Oklahoma City has lost by at least five points in both of its losses. I’m also targeting the under 228.5 points, which has hit in five of OKC’s six outings but only two of Cleveland’s six. The Thunder’s low scoring drags the total down even if the Cavs reach 115+.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has failed to reach the 30-point mark in four of his six appearances. However, he should have enough opportunities to clear the line. He’s averaging 21.5 field goal attempts per game and hasn’t gone four consecutive games without scoring 30 points since April 2026.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Team News

Oklahoma City Thunder Team News

The Thunder are severely depleted, with All-Star guard-forward Jalen Williams (leg) and centre-forward Chet Holmgren (knee), along with Cason Wallace (shoulder), expected to remain sidelined until next year at the earliest. Key reserve Alex Caruso (ankle) and young players Nikola Topic (back) and Thomas Sorber (knee) are also out.

Williams, Wallace, and Holmgren are regular starters, while Caruso is one of Oklahoma City’s most important bench players. The Thunder will therefore be missing key contributors at both ends of the court. Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, and Kenrich Williams are expected to take on larger roles in the rotation.

This meeting will wrap up the Thunder’s three-game road trip. They’ve had one day of rest since Saturday’s loss in Houston.

Cleveland Cavaliers Team News

The Cavaliers have listed Peyton Watson as questionable with right hamstring soreness and will make a final decision on his availability closer to Monday’s 7 PM ET tip-off. Watson has been Cleveland’s starting small forward since the season began.

With Jaylon Tyson (ankle) already ruled out, the Cavs could be short on forward depth if Watson is unavailable. That would create opportunities for Sam Merrill, Mario Hezonja, and Meleek Thomas to take on larger roles.

This matchup marks the Cavaliers’ return home after a brief two-game road trip, during which they went 1-1. Like Oklahoma City, Cleveland have had one day of rest after playing on Saturday.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers: Where to Watch (Canada)

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