Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 30/03/2024

Odds via Tonybet

Chelsea vs Burnley	March 31, 2024, 11:00 AM ET
Chelsea odds	-323
Leeds United odds	+800
Draw	+500
Over\Under	3 +118/ -139

Chelsea vs Burnley. Shape of the Teams

Admittedly, this game’s outcome might seem predictable – and the betting odds are clear on who is the favourite.

This is hardly surprising when looking at Burnley, a team that has only collected 17 points until the end of March, with only four victories to their name.

Burnley represents the typical team that could not make the stylistic and qualitative switch when it comes to collective and individual quality, which is vastly different between the Championship and the Premier League.

Chelsea, playing host to Burnley at Stamford Bridge, will have to do without Nkunku and Reece James, who are both sidelined with injuries. However, given the huge difference in player quality and squad depth, absences shouldn’t cause any problems.

This also offers Chelsea a golden opportunity to step up in the Premier League from their current 11th position, only one point behind Newcastle. While it might sound weird, a victory against Burnley could ignite a series of victories.

Chelsea’s problem is that it still does not completely function as a team, which is mostly due to the integration of young talents. A confident Chelsea should continuously be attacking against Burnley, and with that, 90% of the job is likely done – especially given Burnley’s lack of confidence

On the other hand, Chelsea’s Mudryk just qualified for EURO 2024 with Ukraine, which could boost his mood and potentially improve his performance.

These psychological factors are rarely discussed but remain important in determining a player’s psychology and decision-making in the game.

Chelsea vs Burnley Main Match Info

Date and Kickoff Time: Saturday, March 30, 11:00 AM EDT
Stadium: Stamford Bridge
Location: London, England
Last match: Burnley vs Chelsea: 1-4 (October 7, 2023, PL)

Chelsea vs Burnley, Prediction, Odds

Pick: Chelsea to win
Odds: -323 (Tonybet)

The last encounter saw Chelsea exuding confidence by storming Burnley (1-4) despite playing away from home. Now playing on home turf, the Blues will benefit from the home factor and the support of their fans.

Chelsea fans have reasons for high expectations of this game. In recent weeks, they have finally seen a return to form and consistency, especially after the previous months in which the Blues showed more chaotic performances.

Chelsea’s strategy likely involves using Caicedo, Cole Palmer and Mudryk to exploit Burnley’s vulnerabilities.

Burnley’s struggle with various injuries also plays in Chelsea’s favour. Eventually, this means that if Chelsea plays between the lines, they could use Mudryk’s pace – provided his decision-making is on point.

Chelsea is in a critical state, and there are multiple questions about their future. After their recent positive trajectory, any misstep could derail months of progress.

MD-1 mode. 🧠 pic.twitter.com/BREJDGoO7a
— Chelsea FC (@ChelseaFC) March 29, 2024

Chelsea’s lack of cohesion between players has been evident throughout the season. Games against teams like Burnley – who are fighting relegation – often provide a great platform to improve on-field chemistry, strategic patterns, and automatisms.

Chelsea vs Burnley United Betting Tip

Pick: Chelsea to lead by 2+ goals
Odds: +106 (Tonybet)

Some might ask why the chosen pick is not “to keep a clean sheet.” Surely Chelsea should be able to keep a clean sheet at home against one of the shiest attacks in the league?

The answer is that the Blues have rarely kept clean sheets in recent months. Despite the overwhelming difference in quality, Chelsea is likely to concede. This is often caused by individual mistakes or tactical decisions, such as Enzo’s tendency to push forward aggressively.

Charged for Chelsea 🔋 pic.twitter.com/ZzwjPY2JSU
— Burnley FC (@BurnleyOfficial) March 29, 2024

Nonetheless, in matches where there is a vast difference in player quality, teams often adopt a more defensive strategy, especially when the hosting team is part of the top six. Despite these tactics, goals are still likely to occur in such ties.

Games like these could also offer relief for players like Jackson – who has not met scoring expectations – an opportunity to find the back of the net and boost his morale.

Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.