Wales vs Poland Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 26/03/2024

Odds via Tonybet

Wales vs Poland	March 26, 2024, 2:45 PM EDT
Wales odds	+150
Poland odds	+210
Draw	+215
Over\Under	2 -121/+102

Wales vs Poland. Shape of the Teams

The playoff pathway is narrowing, which sets the stage for more evenly balanced ties. Poland and Wales saw a one-sided game in the previous round, allowing both teams to progress easily.

The Poles overpowered the Estonians with a decisive 5-1 victory. Jakub Kiwior famously said at half-time, “If we can score five, let’s score five k***a.” And so they did.

On the other hand, Wales also dominated their opponent, netting four goals against Finland (4-1), which means both teams will enter the game high on confidence.

The Welsh road to the playoffs has been somewhat odd. Although they ended third in their group, they suffered unexpected losses against weaker teams, such as the 4-2 defeat against Armenia. This inconsistency has been a constant in their qualification series, but something similar could be said about the Poles.

However, the two teams will not face minnows now, with the Welsh welcoming the Poles on home soil. The two teams previously locked horns in the Nations League with mixed fortunes.

In the first game, Poland opted for a compact, narrow formation, a strategy that did not play to their strengths and was unsuccessful. In both matches, Karol Świderski emerged as the solution to all problems, being a key goal contributor for the Poles. Can the Poles repeat such a performance away from home?

Wales vs Poland Main Match Info

Date and Kickoff Time: Tuesday, March 26, 2:45 PM EDT
Stadium: Cardiff City Stadium
Location: Cardiff, Wales
Last match: Wales vs Poland: 0-1 (September 25, 2022, Nations League)

Wales vs Poland, Prediction, Odds

Pick: Wales to win
Odds: +150 (Tonybet)

Betting odds favour the Welsh, which is hardly surprising, given the home crowd advantage. While it is true that Poland was more successful in their past encounters, the stakes will depend on Poland’s midfield dominance. As both sides tend to dominate through the wings and direct attacks, the team that can establish control in its build-up will likely create more chances.

The Welsh will look towards Brooks and Wilson to weave their magic in the final third, much like they did against Finland. Their ability to join each other in the half-spaces was a major problem for their opponents.

Back to work 💪#TogetherStronger pic.twitter.com/05LT9fioaA
— Wales 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 (@Cymru) March 23, 2024

However, the Poles also allowed Finland to penetrate the critical zone 14 easily on a few occasions in the beginning. But if Lewandowski maintains his stellar form, he could indeed be a difference-maker from the get-go.

Both squads’ Achilles’ heel lies in their box defence, which is often too passive, resulting in easy opportunities for the opponent. Therefore, this hints towards a game of ‘the before-last mistake wins the game.’

Wales vs Poland Betting Tip

Pick: Brennan Johnson to score
Odds: +260 (Tonybet)

As previously mentioned, if Brooks and Wilson can replicate their synergy in the half-spaces, the Welsh are almost certain to win, regardless of the state of their backline.

Johnson is a great scorer, and Wilson and Brooks are a duo that is hardly stoppable, given how well they find each other.

Harry ➡️ Ethan ➡️ Brooksy ➡️ BRENNAN 🎯#TogetherStronger pic.twitter.com/zvqyxbOwOl
— Wales 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 (@Cymru) March 23, 2024

But it needs to be noted that this may not be enough. The mistakes of the Welsh defence in the early minutes of their game against Finland – with blunders in crucial zones in the penalty box – will likely be exploited by Poland.

However, Poland’s track record in away games is far from impressive, and the adrenaline rush against Estonia may carry the risk of overconfidence. This means that they are likely to commit mistakes themselves.

Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.