Real Madrid vs Atlético de Madrid, Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 04/02/2024
Calendar icon Updated 02 Feb 13:11

Real Madrid vs Atlético de Madrid, Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 04/02/2024

Kai Edvard Iliev Kai Edvard Iliev
Odds via Tonybet
Real Madrid vs Atlético de MadridFebruary 4 2024, 3:00 M ET
Real Madrid odds-134
Atlético de Madrid odds+359
Draw+300
Over\Under2.5 +-148\+125

Real Madrid vs Atlético de Madrid. Shape of the Teams

The Madrid Derby stands out as one of the most intense rivalries in soccer, showcasing a stark contrast between the two giants of the city.

With its global following and illustrious history, Real Madrid often enters these fixtures as the favourite, embodying the more glamorous and successful “big brother” in this familial rivalry.

On the other hand, Atlético Madrid, often seen as the underdog, prides itself on being the gritty, resilient force that stands up against Real Madrid’s dominance. Despite being perceived as the “poorer, different” sibling, Atlético’s tenacity and fighting spirit are never in question.

Their recent victory over Real Madrid in the Copa Del Rey, triumphing 4-2, exemplifies their capability to upset the odds, especially when playing at their home ground, the Wanda Metropolitano.

However, the dynamics shift when the derby moves to the Bernabeu. Here, Real Madrid’s home advantage and the intense atmosphere can play significant roles in the outcome of the match.

The current form of both Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid, excluding the national cups (Supercopa and Copa del Rey), shows that both teams have remained unbeaten for a while. This underscores the high level at which both teams have been competing. 

Atlético Madrid’s acquisition of the Belgian midfielder Arthur Vermeeren represents a promising addition, though he may require some time to adjust to the new environment and the intense nature of Spanish soccer.

But more importantly, the soul of Diego Simeone’s team is back – Reinildo Mandava, who had been sidelined for a year due to injury. In Atlético’s last games, after his return from the AFCON, the world was reminded of how crucial his role is within the team’s defensive structure.

Meanwhile, Giménez has also suffered an injury, but with the likes of Witsel and Reinildo, Atlético has a very strong base at the back. After all, the team will look to avoid the weaknesses of Savić, commonly targeted by Bellingham and Vinicius Jr. in the past derbies, dating only a few weeks back. 

The gap between Real Madrid and Atlético in the league is ten points, but a win for Atlético in the upcoming derby could narrow it to seven, intensifying the title race.

Atlético is probably the most difficult opponent for Real, and Jude Bellingham & co shouldn’t let this opportunity slide. 

Real might have the better opportunities, but with the tension and the emotions, mistakes that led to the recent 2-4 defeat could be repeated. And this is the last thing Real Madrid wants while racing for the title, with Girona just being 2 points behind. 

For Atlético, maintaining pace with Barcelona, who are on equal points, is crucial. This is especially true considering Barcelona’s expected win in the away game against Deportivo Alavés, which takes place a day earlier, on Saturday.

However, after the shocking 3-5 defeat against Villarreal and an unconvincing clean sheet victory against Osasuna (1-0), it would not be a surprise if Barcelona would not take the opportunity to steer clear ahead of Atlético de Madrid.

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Real Madrid vs Atlético de Madrid Main Match Info

Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Odds

It is obvious that Real enters the derby with a clear advantage, buoyed by strong recent performances and the significant benefit of playing at home. Atlético Madrid’s victories against Rayo (2-1) and Sevilla (1-0) have not convinced the Atlético crowd, indicating a dip from the high standards set earlier in the season.

However, the return of Reinildo Mandava has injected a new dynamism into the team, potentially shifting the tide in Atlético’s favour. 

Yet, the challenge of simultaneously halting Real Madrid’s quartet of Rodrygo, Jude Bellingham, Toni Kroos, and Vinicius Jr. remains daunting. 

Additionally, the presence of Joselu, known for his ability to exploit spaces behind advancing defensive lines, adds another layer of complexity to Atlético’s defence, especially in critical moments of the match.

The passion and intensity that characterize the Madrid Derby are undiminished despite the frequency of these encounters.

For Simeone, this match presents a pivotal moment. He can still count on an in-form Antoine Griezmann, without forgetting the younger Pablo Barrios, whose recent performances have highlighted his potential to disrupt Real Madrid’s defensive setup with his incisive passing.

Atlético, however, must be wary of Real Madrid’s prowess on the wings, a traditional area of struggle for Atlético, especially against younger, dynamic players. Real Madrid is likely to leverage the speed and creativity of Vinicius, Rodrygo, and the overlapping runs of Dani Carvajal to exploit these vulnerabilities.

Real Madrid vs Atlético de Madrid Betting Tip

In the high-stakes atmosphere of the Madrid Derbies, Atlético Madrid has historically shown a tendency to adopt a more defensive posture, especially when facing Real Madrid. 

This approach has often led to Atlético conceding the first goal, as the pressure from Real Madrid forces them into deeper positions, making it difficult to withstand the onslaught.

Interestingly, the narrative shifted in the last three derbies, with Atlético managing to score first. However, the circumstances leading up to the upcoming derby suggest a return to the traditional pattern may be likely.

Real Madrid’s recent performance against Getafe, where they secured a comfortable win without expending significant energy, contrasts sharply with their effortful victory against Las Palmas in the absence of Jude Bellingham.

Real Madrid’s current form exudes a confidence and winning mentality that few opponents have been able to dismantle. The partnership between Jude Bellingham and Vinicius Jr. has become increasingly effective, not just in terms of offensive output but also in making it challenging for opponents to find scoring opportunities.

Furthermore, Real Madrid’s defence has shown notable improvements, presenting a more organized and cohesive unit. This development poses a significant challenge for Atlético Madrid, whose defensive performance has been less convincing.

Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.

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