| Moneyline Pick | Senegal to Win (-455) |
| Player Prop | Ismaïla Sarr to Score (+134) |
| Same Game Parlay | Senegal to Win + Ismaïla Sarr to Score + Over 2.5 Goals |
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Senegal vs Iraq Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Friday, June 26, 2026, 3:00 PM EDT
- Venue: Toronto Stadium
- Location: Toronto, Canada
- Last H2H match: No previous meetings
Senegal vs Iraq Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Senegal to Win
- Odds: -455 (Tonybet)
Senegal are clear favourites to beat Iraq. The African side lost 3-1 to France and 3-2 to Norway, but both defeats came against elite opposition that have already secured qualification from Group I. The Lions of Mesopotamia, by contrast, have conceded seven goals in two matches.
The biggest advantage for Senegal is their attacking quality. The Lions of Teranga can call upon Sadio Mané, Nicolas Jackson, and Ismaïla Sarr – a front line built around players competing in top European leagues. Despite their two defeats, Senegal have still managed to score three goals at this World Cup.
The Lions of Teranga’s hopes will remain alive only if they win in Toronto. Expect them to dominate the wings and secure a victory.
Senegal vs Iraq Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Ismaïla Sarr to Score
- Odds: +134 (Tonybet)
Ismaïla carries Senegal’s strongest scoring momentum after netting two goals against Norway. Across the tournament, he has recorded nine shots, three on target, and 1.47 xG, with eight of his nine attempts coming from inside the box in only 165 minutes.
Iraq’s games have exposed their defensive vulnerabilities to pace, wide runners, and quick attacks after turnovers. Sarr excels in those situations, attacking the back post, running beyond fullbacks, and arriving in the box rather than staying wide.
With Senegal needing a win to keep their qualification hopes alive, Sarr should play a central role in the attack once again. The Crystal Palace forward is a strong candidate to find the net.
Senegal vs Iraq Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Senegal to Win + Ismaïla Sarr to Score + Over 2.5 Goals
Senegal to Win: Senegal are heavy favourites against an Iraq side that have allowed seven goals in two games. With their hopes of advancing potentially depending on a strong result, the Lions of Teranga should come out aggressively from the opening whistle.
Ismaïla Sarr to Score: Sarr managed to bag a brace against Norway. In a must-win situation, he is one of the most likely candidates to extend his scoring streak.
Over 2.5 Goals: The Lions of Mesopotamia have conceded seven goals in two matches, and Senegal have scored three despite playing France and Norway; against Iraq-level opposition, the Lions of Teranga are expected to score freely. Moreover, Senegal may need to improve their goal difference to have a realistic chance of advancing as one of the best third-placed teams, which should encourage them to be aggressive throughout the game.
Senegal vs Iraq Team News
Senegal Team News
Senegal suffered a back-to-back group-stage loss against Norway (3-2). Their performance improved, however, as they recorded 16 shots to Norway’s 13. Still, they conceded just before half-time and twice more early in the second half.
The biggest positive has been Ismaïla Sarr’s form. He scored twice against Norway and became Senegal’s joint-leading World Cup scorer with three goals. Sadio Mané remains the leader after returning to the World Cup following the injury that ruled him out in 2022, while Nicolas Jackson gives the Lions of Teranga a direct penalty-box option.
Senegal have no confirmed injury absences heading into this match. However, Kalidou Koulibaly is a key doubt after a poor night against Norway and a 72nd-minute substitution.
Iraq Team News
The main storyline surrounding Iraq has been their inability to cope with World Cup-level attacking quality. They lost 4-1 to Norway and 3-0 to France, conceding seven goals while scoring only once.
Against France, the Lions of Mesopotamia offered very little attacking threat and spent long periods defending deep. Against Norway, they were repeatedly exposed in transition and struggled to contain direct running from wide areas.
Aymen Hussein remains Iraq’s primary attacking outlet and biggest goal threat, but he has received limited service against elite opposition. Ibrahim Bayesh and Ali Jasim continue to provide the team’s best creative spark, while Zidane Iqbal plays a crucial role in midfield progression and ball retention.
Iraq enter the final group-stage match with no major injury concerns.
Senegal vs Iraq: Where to Watch (Canada)
- DAZN
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