Moneyline PickNorway to Win (-527)
Player PropErling Haaland to Score (-233)
Same Game ParlayNorway to Win + Erling Haaland to Score + Under 3.5 Goals (+200)
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Iraq vs Norway Main Match Info

Iraq vs Norway Moneyline Prediction

Norway are clear favourites heading into this match. They qualified with a perfect eight-win campaign, scoring 37 goals and conceding only five. Their attack also produced 27.2 xG, the highest xG total in European qualifying.

Iraq’s best chance of causing an upset may come from set pieces. However, they average only 46% possession and 0.91 xG on the road, so long spells without the ball are expected.

Motivation also favours Norway. This is their first World Cup since 1998, and with France and Senegal also in Group I, they need to secure three points in this matchup. Expect Ståle Solbakken’s men to dominate and win.

Iraq vs Norway Player Prop

Erling Haaland finished as the top scorer in World Cup qualifying with 16 goals in eight games. The matchup further enhances his chances because Iraq are expected to defend deep and absorb pressure. That approach can be dangerous against Haaland, who thrives on box movement, crosses, cutbacks, and second balls.

Haaland produced 40 shots and 7.61 non-penalty xG in qualifying, averaging a goal every 46 minutes. Notably, none of his 16 qualifying goals came from the penalty spot. At club level, he also averaged 3.83 shots per 90 minutes.

With Iraq likely to defend in a low block, Haaland should get 75-90 minutes of penalty-box service and eventually find the back of the net.

Iraq vs Norway Same Game Parlay

Norway to Win: Norway approach this match as favourites. A winning start will be inspiring for Ståle Solbakken’s men. Iraq struggle against stronger opposition and are unlikely to claim even a point here.

Erling Haaland to Score: Haaland is an obvious choice, given his record and finishing. With Norway dominating, he is likely to get a lot of chances in the penalty area.

Under 3.5 Goals: Iraq’s games have not produced four or more goals since March 2025, and their last three have featured two or fewer. They are solid defensively and are expected to sit deep. Norway are likely to win comfortably, but against a side built to absorb pressure and frustrate, a high-scoring blowout is less probable than a controlled 2-0 or 2-1 win that keeps the total well inside the line.

Iraq vs Norway Team News

Iraq Team News 

Iraq return to the World Cup for the first time in 40 years, and the occasion carries significant emotional weight. In their last three matches, they beat Andorra (1-0), drew against Spain (1-1), and lost to Venezuela (0-2). They can stay compact and frustrate opponents, but they tend to concede once their first defensive line is broken.

Aymen Hussein remains the team’s key player. He ranks fifth on Iraq’s all-time scoring list with 33 goals. Ali Jasim and Merchas Doski are the main wide threats, while Doski found the net against Spain and was one of the most active players on the pitch.

Iraq have no major injury concerns. Ali Youssef remains a question mark after receiving a straight red card in the 2-0 friendly defeat to Venezuela.

Norway Team News

Norway’s recent performances help explain why many analysts view them as potential dark horses. They advanced through the WC 2026 qualifiers with a perfect record and continued their strong form in friendlies – they beat Sweden convincingly 3-1 and earned a 1-1 draw against Morocco.

Erling Haaland is the nation’s primary attacking threat. The Manchester City forward is already Norway’s all-time top scorer with 55 goals in 50 matches. Alexander Sørloth, Martin Ødegaard, Antonio Nusa, Oscar Bobb, and Jørgen Strand Larsen contributed heavily during the qualifying campaign.

Norway arrive at the World Cup opener with an almost fully fit squad. Martin Ødegaard had been dealing with fitness concerns, but he seems ready to face Iraq.

Iraq vs Norway: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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