New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (June 5)
Calendar icon Updated 05 Jun 13:28

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (June 5)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickSan Antonio Spurs
Player PropVictor Wembanyama over 39.5 points + rebounds
Same Game Parlay (Bet Builder)Josh Hart over 8.5 rebounds + Stephon Castle over 1.5 three-pointers + Karl-Anthony Towns over 3.5 assists
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New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Main Match Info

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Moneyline Prediction

The Spurs could’ve easily won Game 1 of the 2026 NBA Finals, but poor execution down the stretch, as well as Jalen Brunson’s ability to take over in clutch situations, handed the Knicks a 1-0 series lead.

New York have seized home-court advantage, meaning they simply need to win their three games at Madison Square Garden to become the new NBA champions.

The Knicks deserve credit for their opener win, though, as they mounted an impressive second-half comeback fuelled by superior shooting. They made 41.4% of their field-goal attempts compared to the Spurs’ 35.9%.

The Knicks also won the turnover battle, committing nine to San Antonio’s 13, and distributed the ball better with 20 assists to their opponents’ 16.

In short, the Spurs made several mistakes that had largely been absent in the previous series. They have experienced some inconsistency at home in the playoffs (6-4), but they’ve yet to lose back-to-back in the playoffs aside from Games 2 and 3 against the Thunder.

Expect San Antonio to respond here. If they clean up their offensive execution, they’ll be capable of bouncing back against a Knicks team that needed a massive fourth-quarter spark to steal the opener.

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Player Prop

Wembanyama finished the series opener with 26 points (6-21 FG, 2-9 3Pt, 12-13 FT), 12 rebounds, two assists, one steal, and three blocks over 38 minutes.

As loaded as his stat line was, Wembanyama disappeared down the stretch and was unable to close out the game for the Spurs.

However, the Frenchman has improved with each passing series, and after seeing how the Knicks plan to defend him, he should make some adjustments.

His Game 1 total of 38 P+R narrowly missed this line, but coming off a poor shooting night (6-for-21 from the field), a correction in his field goal efficiency at home should push him well above 39.5 in the upcoming clash.

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Same Game Parlay

We’re targeting three specific player props in our SGP. The first one is Josh Hart to record at least nine rebounds, a number he surpassed with ease in the series opener, hauling a game-high 15 boards.

Hart is averaging 9.1 rebounds per game in the playoffs and has grabbed at least nine in each of his last three appearances. His tenacity on the glass continues to be a key factor for the Knicks.

We’re also backing Stephon Castle to make at least two three-pointers after he went 1-for-5 from beyond the arc in the opener.

Castle has shot just 30.2% from deep over his last 10 outings, but with an average of 4.3 three-point attempts per game, he could be due for a bounce-back performance here. He is still shooting 35.3% from three in the playoffs, a better mark than his recent form suggests.

Finally, Towns dished out four assists on Wednesday and should have a big role in the playmaking department once again. He has delivered four or more assists in 11 of his last 13 playoff contests, averaging 6.2 dimes per game over that stretch – an excellent figure for a big man.

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Team News

New York Knicks Team News

The Knicks shouldn’t make too many changes to their rotation following their hard-working victory on Wednesday.

Mitchell Robinson remains the lone question mark due to his finger injury, but the big man is expected to suit up and handle steady minutes off the bench on Friday. He logged 13 minutes in Game 1, finishing with two points and six rebounds.

San Antonio Spurs Team News

As has been the trend throughout the playoffs, the Spurs will be healthy for this contest.

Head coach Mitch Johnson isn’t expected to change his rotation drastically, meaning Fox should remain in the starting lineup despite his struggles, while Dylan Harper could come off the bench. Keldon Johnson, the 2025-26 Sixth Man of the Year, should continue to see steady minutes off the bench as well.

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs: Where to Watch (Canada)

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