| Moneyline Pick | Dortmund to Win (-179) |
| Player Prop | Serhou Guirassy to Score (-108) |
| Same Game Parlay | Dortmund to Win + Serhou Guirassy to Score + BTTS (+240) |
| Check Live Odds | |
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Friday, February 13, 2026, 02:30 PM EST
- Venue: Signal Iduna Park
- Location: Dortmund, Germany
- Last H2H match: Mainz 0-2 Dortmund (2025/26 Bundesliga Season, September 2025)
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Dortmund to Win
- Odds: -179 (Tonybet)
Under Urs Fischer, Mainz have already taken points off two top-four teams, and they seem capable of doing so again. However, Dortmund have been in excellent form lately.
The hosts own the second-best home record in the Bundesliga, with eight wins and two draws from 10 matches.
Mainz may be on a three-game winning run, but playing at Signal Iduna Park is a challenge for any club. As such, we expect the home side to secure another three points.
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Serhou Guirassy to Score
- Odds: -108 (Tonybet)
Serhou Guirassy is Dortmund’s primary box finisher. Alongside his nine Bundesliga goals, Guirassy is producing steady shot volume, with 3.1 shots per 90 minutes, and has posted 9.82 xG.
BVB are strong at home and should spend long spells around Mainz’s box, which is exactly where Guirassy lives. If the 05ers sit in and try to survive, Dortmund’s wide progression and cutbacks will naturally generate chances for the forward. If Mainz press higher, it can turn into transitional moments where Guirassy gets cleaner looks inside the area.
Dortmund are still chasing the top of the table. They should impose the pressure, with Serhou Guirassy being the most likely candidate to score.
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Dortmund to Win + Serhou Guirassy to Score + BTTS
- Odds: +240 (Tonybet)
Dortmund to Win: Dortmund are clear favourites at home, where they haven’t lost a single game in the Bundesliga this season. Mainz, meanwhile, have suffered five defeats across their last eight away fixtures in the league.
Serhou Guirassy to Score: Guirassy has netted three goals in his last two appearances. Mainz is one of his favourite opponents, as he’s scored six against them in the Bundesliga.
BTTS: These clubs regularly exchange goals. Eight of their last 11 head-to-head meetings have seen both sides score. Mainz have also found the net in each of their last five away encounters with BVB.
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Team News
Borussia Dortmund Team News
Dortmund have been in decent form lately, winning five consecutive matches in the Bundesliga. Performance-wise, their last three games show why they’ve slipped. They’re creating enough to win consistently, as was illustrated against Wolfsburg, Heidenheim, and St. Pauli, but they’ve conceded in all three.
The good news is Dortmund’s key attackers are trending up. Serhou Guirassy has nine goals, while Maximilian Beier and Julian Brandt come next with six each. Defensively, they also remain the second-best side after Bayern with 20 conceded goals only.
However, Dortmund face issues with defensive depth. Emre Can is injured, Yan Couto is also sidelined, and Nico Schlotterbeck is suspended. Karim Adeyemi and Marcel Sabitzer are questionable.
Mainz Team News
The biggest story around Mainz is the Urs Fischer effect. Since he took over in December, the 05ers have lost only once in the last 10 games, including a 2-2 away draw against Bayern.
Tactically, Mainz’s scoring output has improved because the chance quality has jumped. In their last three league matches, they posted 2.41 xG against Augsburg, 2.33 xG away at Leipzig, and 3.82 xG against Wolfsburg (0.73 conceded).
Flutlichtspiel in Dortmund! 🌆
Die Faninfos vor #BVBM05: https://t.co/N3Pw55oO9n#Mainz05 pic.twitter.com/QRa7aOjeJn
— 1. FSV Mainz 05 (@1FSVMainz05) February 12, 2026
Mainz have also taken five penalties in their last three outings. Creating the most dangerous moments through set pieces is Urs Fischer’s signature style.
The team arrive in Dortmund with several absences. Anthony Caci, Maxim Dal, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Benedict Hollerbach, Sota Kawasaki, Maxim Leitsch, Lennard Maloney, and Robin Zentner are out.
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz: Where to Watch (Canada)
- DAZN
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