Toronto vs Nashville Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 9)
Calendar icon Published 08 Sep 10:31

Toronto vs Nashville Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 9)

Giorgi Natsvlishvili
Moneyline PickNashville to Win (+121)
Player PropSam Surridge to Score (+124)
Same Game ParlayNashville to Win + Sam Surridge to Score + Under 3.5 Goals (+400)
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Toronto vs Nashville Main Match Info

Toronto vs Nashville Moneyline Prediction

Nashville lead the Eastern Conference with 53 points from 23 matches, while Toronto have managed only 26 points and have a -6 goal difference.

Home advantage has not translated into enough victories for the Reds. Only 23% of their home games have been victories, with 62% ending in draws, and they’ve allowed 1.42 xGA per home fixture. Nashville, meanwhile, have lost only twice in 11 road outings.

Overall, Toronto are unbeaten in their last six encounters. However, the Boys in Gold have far more motivation to maintain their position at the top of the table, while the Reds remain outside the playoff places. As a result, we expect the visitors to come out on top.

Toronto vs Nashville Player Prop

Sam Surridge has scored 13 MLS goals in 17 appearances. More importantly, he has averaged 2.61 shots and 1.55 shots on target per 90. His finishing has been exceptional as well, with approximately 35% of his shots resulting in goals.

The matchup further increases his chances of scoring because Toronto’s home defence has been extremely vulnerable. The Reds have conceded 42 goals in 23 MLS matches and have kept no clean sheets in 13 home games.

The Boys in Gold enter the fixture having scored 12 goals across their last five MLS outings. With Surridge playing full matches and leading Nashville’s attack, he is the main candidate to find the back of the net.

Toronto vs Nashville Same Game Parlay

Nashville to Win: Nashville lead the East with 53 points and have defeated Toronto in four straight H2H encounters. Given their form, another victory looks likely for B. J. Callaghan’s team.

Sam Surridge to Score: Nashville’s primary attacking threat, Surridge has netted 13 goals. With the visitors expected to dominate possession, the English forward will likely add to his tally.

Under 3.5 Goals: The last seven H2H meetings between the clubs have produced fewer than four goals. Nashville have been solid defensively, so we anticipate a relatively cautious performance from both sides.

Toronto vs Nashville Team News

Toronto Team News 

TFC drew in a dramatic eight-goal thriller against the Chicago Fire (4-4). The Canadians salvaged a point in the last minute when Derrick Etienne scored in stoppage time. Still, their defensive problems persist, as they allowed 15 shots and 1.92 xG.

The key player right now is unquestionably Josh Sargent. He scored a hat-trick against Chicago, bringing his total to seven MLS goals.

Dániel Sallói is another major threat. His assist against Chicago extended his run to four consecutive MLS matches with a goal contribution.

Niklas Dorsch is out with a facial injury. Jonathan Osorio and Nelson Palacio are also sidelined.

Nashville Team News

Nashville’s major story over the last week was actually defensive. After destroying Cincinnati 4-0, they went to Yankee Stadium and drew 0-0 against New York City, giving Brian Schwake his league-leading 11th MLS clean sheet.

The Boys in Gold allowed NYCFC only six shots, one on target, and 1.03 xG, while producing 13 shots, 34 opposition-box touches, and 1.60 xG themselves.

Sam Surridge leads Nashville with 13 MLS goals, while Hany Mukhtar has netted 10 goals and created 31 chances. Cristian Espinoza recorded his 10th assist on Surridge’s opener in the 4-0 demolition of Cincinnati.

Warren Madrigal is the only absentee. He has been one of the club’s top performers this season, scoring five goals.

Toronto vs Nashville: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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