Toronto vs Chicago Fire Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 5)
Calendar icon Published 04 Sep 10:57

Toronto vs Chicago Fire Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 5)

Giorgi Natsvlishvili
Moneyline PickChicago Fire to Win (+121)
Player PropRobert Lewandowski to Score (+112)
Same Game ParlayChicago Fire to Win + Robert Lewandowski to Score + BTTS (+333)
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Toronto vs Chicago Fire Main Match Info

Toronto vs Chicago Fire Moneyline Prediction

Chicago sit third in the Eastern Conference with 37 points from 21 matches, while Toronto have only 25 points from 22. More importantly, the Fire’s results are supported by their chance creation: they have generated 38.1 xG and allowed only 26.3 xGA.

The visitors also arrive with convincing momentum despite playing their last three games away from home. They beat Orlando 2-1 before drawing 1-1 at the Red Bulls and 2-2 at Seattle.

There is motivation as well. Chicago are fighting to consolidate their position near the top in the East. Toronto’s strong recent form creates some risk, but the Fire’s superior xG profile gives the visiting side a slight advantage.

Toronto vs Chicago Fire Player Prop

Since joining Chicago, Robert Lewandowski has scored four MLS goals in 455 minutes. At the same time, 13 of his 16 league shots have come from inside the penalty area.

The matchup further boosts his scoring probability. Toronto have conceded 23 goals in 12 home matches, averaging 1.92 per game. As one of the greatest forwards of his era, Lewandowski does not need many chances to score.

His current form makes the prop even more attractive. Lewandowski has scored in two of his last three MLS starts. If the Chicago Fire dominate the game, the Polish forward is likely to add to his tally.

Toronto vs Chicago Fire Same Game Parlay

Chicago Fire to Win: The Chicago Fire are pushing for a top-three finish, while Toronto are 10th and outside the playoff zone. Given the visitors’ recent form, we expect Gregg Berhalter’s men to win.

Robert Lewandowski to Score: Lewandowski arrives in hot form after scoring four goals in seven appearances. Given his vast experience, we expect the Polish striker to score.

BTTS: Each of the last five H2H meetings has seen both teams score. Toronto have failed to keep a clean sheet in their previous six matches, while Chicago have conceded in their last seven.

Toronto vs Chicago Fire Team News

Toronto Team News 

Toronto have taken nine points from their last five MLS games, but their performances have not consistently matched their results. The clearest example came against Miami: the Reds won 2-1 despite being outperformed 1.78-0.60 on xG and having only 38% possession. Against NYCFC, Toronto drew 1-1 despite winning the xG battle 0.76-0.39.

Josh Sargent scored against Miami and was named to the MLS Team of the Matchday. Daniel Sallói produced an assist in that game before scoring Toronto’s equaliser against NYCFC. Djordje Mihailovic provides the main creative presence between midfield and Sargent.

Niklas Dorsch is out after suffering a facial fracture. Jonathan Osorio, Nelson Palacio, and Deandre Kerr are also sidelined.

Chicago Fire Team News

Against Seattle, Chicago were dominant. They recorded 20 shots to Seattle’s 11, 11 shots on target to three, and 2.02 xG to 0.87. They also controlled 56% possession. However, defensive problems persist, as they still conceded twice and needed an 81st-minute equaliser.

Robert Lewandowski has immediately transformed the attack. He scored against Orlando and produced one goal and one assist in the 2-2 draw at Seattle. Maren Haile-Selassie is in excellent form as well, having recorded five goals and six assists. Philip Zinckernagel has contributed seven goals and seven assists across 26 matches in all competitions.

Mbekezeli Mbokazi is out with a knock until around mid-September. Chris Mueller is unavailable.

Toronto vs Chicago Fire: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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