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Toronto FC vs New England RevolutionApril 21, 2024, 7:30 PM EDT
Toronto FC odds+118
New England Revolution odds+200
Draw+250
Over\Under2.5  -142/+203

Toronto FC vs New England Revolution. Shape of the Teams

Toronto has been facing some bad news recently that casts a shadow over their upcoming fixtures.

The most significant blow comes from injuries. With Lorenzo Insigne still sidelined, Toronto is deprived of their most threatening player up front. Additionally, Brandon Servania and Richie Laryea join Insigne on the injury bench, stripping Toronto of crucial dynamic elements in their play.

As if this was not enough, Toronto has to do without key defender Kevin Long, who is suspended for the clash with New England Revolution. Long, who has been instrumental throughout the campaign, received a second yellow card in the dying minutes of the game against Charlotte (3-2) and was sent off with a red card. His absence will complicate things for Toronto’s defence, which has already conceded 12 goals. 

Toronto might seem to have the upper hand based on the standings. They’re still in the lower middle table of the league, while their opponents are languishing at the bottom of the MLS ranking. 

However, their recent form tells a starkly different story. Toronto stumbled in their last three matches while conceding a total of ten goals. This ranks them among the league’s most out-of-form teams which causes concerns heading into the game against New England.

New England has just been booted out of the CONCACAF Champions Cup, where they were decisively beaten by Club América: 0-4 at home and 5-2 away on Mexican soil. Their record in the MLS is not particularly glorious either. 

While Toronto won the last encounter against New England (1-0), the other two previous encounters saw New England coming out on top. 

Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Main Match Info

Toronto FC vs New England Revolution, Prediction, Odds

The last clash saw Toronto snatch a narrow 1-0 victory away from home, with Insigne scoring the only goal of the match. But there’s a major problem for Toronto fans – he will be absent this time around due to injury. 

Insigne’s absence has coincided with a sharp decline in the team’s performance, which is evident with three back-to-back losses.

With no attacker capable of replicating his offensive impact, Toronto is left with the same problems as before: a weak defence that lacks the buffer of a potent offence. This imbalance has resulted in a catastrophe for the Canadian team. 

Despite these challenges,Toronto are expected to dominate possession, enjoying the support of their home crowd. However, the poor defensive record of both teams indicates that this game will be decided by the last mistake, instead of the best offensive action. 

Furthermore, Toronto will have to battle against Carles Gil, who is at the center of every transition of New England and is difficult to contain. 

A transition-based game would benefit New England, who deploy a double-pivot with four attackers. This strategy results in more attacking lines and places greater emphasis on the wingers’ impact on the flow of the game.

Toronto would prefer to avoid that strategy, especially as Insigne’s absence could lead to Bernardeschi taking a more central role as a forward. While Toronto should focus on creating opportunities for the Italian, defensively, he doesn’t quite measure up.

A possible alternative is to mimic New England’s structure. Although this might be seen as an unconventional move, Toronto has more individual quality, and NY City successfully employed this Strategy in their recent 2-0 win against New England.

If there is something Toronto wants to avoid, it is imbalance. Whether it means playing with a double-pivot or at least binning the three-at-the-back and fielding a 4-4-2 is another question.

Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Betting Tip

With two teams unable to keep a clean sheet regularly, expecting a barrage of goals might seem far-fetched. Historically, New England has usually had the upper hand over Toronto – barring the last match – and without Insigne, Toronto has yet to settle into an effective formation that leads to convincing victories. 

This game presents Toronto with the opportunity to switch things up. However, without any adjustments, the game could easily devolve into an evenly matched contest, where neither side secures a decisive advantage. 

Predicting a 1-1 draw might not be glamorous, but it seems like the most logical pick in this scenario. 


Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.


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