| Moneyline Pick | Real Madrid to Win (-323) |
| Player Prop | Kylian Mbappe to Score (-209) |
| Same Game Parlay | Real Madrid to Win + Kylian Mbappe to Score + Over 2.5 Goals (+105) |
| Check Live Odds | |
Real Madrid vs Girona Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Friday, April 10, 2026, 03:00 PM EDT
- Venue: Santiago Bernabeu
- Location: Madrid, Spain
- Last H2H match: Girona 1-1 Real Madrid (2025/26 LaLiga, December 2025)
Real Madrid vs Girona Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Real Madrid to Win
- Odds: -323 (Tonybet)
After 30 league matches, Real Madrid sit second with 69 points, while Girona are 12th. The hosts remain firmly in the title race, and any slip-up would further damage their chances of winning the trophy.
Even in their defeat to Mallorca, Los Blancos still posted 2.81 xG to their opponents’ 1.41. Girona, meanwhile, beat Villarreal 1-0 on April 6, but it was a low-event game in which they created only 0.48 xG.
Real Madrid also hold a strong recent head-to-head edge, having avoided defeat in their last five league meetings while winning four of them. As a result, Alvaro Arbeloa’s men are clear favourites to win.
Real Madrid vs Girona Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Kylian Mbappe to Score
- Odds: -209 (Tonybet)
Kylian Mbappe leads LaLiga with 23 goals. He also boasts the league’s highest xG total at 21.4 and is averaging 0.97 goals per 90 minutes, making him the focal point of Real Madrid’s attack.
Mbappe remains the team’s primary scorer and one of their main penalty takers. He’s taken nine league penalties and scored eight, giving him an additional route to goal.
He also found the net against Bayern Munich on April 7. Los Blancos can’t really afford another passive league display after two consecutive defeats. They’ll likely force Girona deeper and feed Mbappe in the penalty box.
Real Madrid vs Girona Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Real Madrid to Win + Kylian Mbappe to Score + Over 2.5 Goals
- Odds: +105 (Tonybet)
Real Madrid to Win: Despite two losses, Real Madrid have won 10 of their last 12 home encounters. Against a motivated opponent, Girona’s chances are slim.
Kylian Mbappe to Score: Mbappe found the net against Bayern, and with 23 league goals, remains LaLiga’s top scorer. He is the most likely player to score in this matchup.
Over 2.5 Goals: Eight of Real Madrid’s last nine home games have produced three or more goals. Girona, meanwhile, have conceded 23 goals on the road, suggesting this could be another high-scoring contest.
Real Madrid vs Girona Team News
Real Madrid Team News
The last two high-intensity matches highlight why Real Madrid’s results have become less reliable. Against Mallorca, they controlled the game with 64.3% possession, 15 shots to six, and six on target to two, yet still lost 2-1 after conceding from limited moments.
Against Bayern, they were outplayed by the opponent’s pressing and control, but still managed to produce 20 shots.
Vinícius is back to strong form with 17 goals and 11 assists this season. Fede Valverde’s return is also crucial, as he restores ball-carrying, pressing range, and defensive cover. Eder Militão is another key returnee who could strengthen the back line.
Thibaut Courtois, Ferland Mendy, and Rodrygo remain sidelined. Franco Mastantuono will also miss the match due to suspension.
Girona Team News
Girona’s 1-0 win over Villarreal last week came despite a poor attacking display. They produced only 0.48 xG from 10 shots and just one big chance. Before that, they lost 1-0 at Osasuna despite having 52% possession, managing only 0.21 xG and five shots.
Vladyslav Vanat leads Girona’s LaLiga scoring chart with nine goals. Viktor Tsygankov, with five goals and four assists, remains one of their most reliable creative players. Paulo Gazzaniga has logged 46 saves and was Player of the Match in the 1-0 defeat to Osasuna.
Juan Carlos, Portu, Marc-Andre ter Stegen, and Donny van de Beek are out with injuries, while Daley Blind, Vladyslav Vanat, and Ricard Artero are questionable.
Real Madrid vs Girona: Where to Watch (Canada)
- TSN
- RDS
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