Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid Prediction, Preview, Team News and Lineups 09.07.2025
Calendar icon Updated 07 Jul 18:38

Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid Prediction, Preview, Team News and Lineups 09.07.2025

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Odds via Tonybet
Paris Saint-Germain vs Real MadridWednesday, July 9, 2025, 3:00 PM EDT
Paris Saint-Germain odds +136
Real Madrid odds +190
Draw+265
Both teams to scoreYes -200, No +160 

Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid Preview and Team News

Paris Saint-Germain Team News

PSG recorded their third consecutive win and third straight clean sheet at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup by defeating Bayern Munich 2-0 in the quarter-finals. Despite ending the match with nine players and losing the possession battle, the French side were clearly superior in the xG department (2.01 to 0.60) and extremely effective where it mattered most.

This was also the fourth time PSG kept a clean sheet in the tournament.

The lone exception came in their 1-0 loss to Botafogo, but otherwise, the team’s defensive play has been outstanding. Moreover, each of their four wins has come by a margin of two goals or more. Luis Enrique’s men continue to thrive on both ends of the pitch and haven’t deviated from the path that helped them win the Champions League.

The Ligue 1 giants will be shorthanded in defence, as Lucas Hernández and Willian Pacho were both sent off in the 2-0 win over Bayern Munich and will be sidelined for this contest. Nordi Mukiele is also out due to a muscle problem. The biggest doubt lies in the presence of Ousmane Dembélé in the attack. The star winger came off the bench against Bayern but could return to the starting XI this time.

Paris Saint-Germain predicted lineup vs Real Madrid (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Beraldo, Mendes; Ruiz, Vitinha, Neves; Kvaratskhelia, Dembélé, Doue.

Real Madrid Team News

Xabi Alonso continues to enjoy success in his first taste of competitive action as Real Madrid’s new manager. The Spanish tactician saw his squad work harder than expected to get past Dortmund in the semifinals, a game in which both Gonzalo García and Kylian Mbappé scored, as well as the team’s fourth straight win at the Club World Cup, so they’re headed in the right direction.

The key point to note heading into this clash is that Xabi Alonso may continue to play with four defenders at the back. It’s simply too risky to field only three centre-backs against PSG, which means that Alonso might choose to deploy the same approach used in their first two outings of the tournament. That should allow Los Blancos to counter the French side’s wing play more effectively.

Real Madrid will be forced to make changes for this match since Dean Huijsen is suspended. The Spain international was sent off during stoppage time of the win over Borussia Dortmund, so we expect Éder Militao to take his place. Also, Mbappé could make his long-awaited return to the starting lineup after scoring his first goal of the tournament in the quarterfinal.

Real Madrid predicted lineup vs Paris Saint-Germain (4-2-3-1): Courtois; Alexander-Arnold, Rudiger, Militao, García; Tchouameni, Güler; Valverde, Bellingham, Vinícius Júnior; Mbappé.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid Main Match Info

Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid Prediction, Odds

If both teams were at full strength, this encounter could easily go to penalties. However, PSG will be missing several pieces on the defensive end, both in terms of quality and depth. 

That could prove to be costly against a Real Madrid squad that have been scoring goals for fun at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup. They’ve netted 11 goals in five matches so far.

The La Liga giants should also receive a significant boost with the likely return of Mbappé to the starting lineup. While Gonzalo García has scored four goals in the tournament, Mbappé brings a different level of firepower to the attack. 

That, along with PSG’s defensive absences, might give Real Madrid a slight edge. However, don’t be surprised if this ends up being a close game, where even the smallest details will be able to make the difference.

Ultimately, Los Blancos’ experience may tip the scales. They should emerge victorious against a PSG side that might start to feel the effects of fatigue after a gruelling 2024/25 season.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid Betting Tip

Mbappé will face PSG as a Real Madrid player for the first time in his career, as he’s highly likely to start after finding the back of the net in the recent win over Dortmund. 

Without a doubt, the Frenchman will be eager to inflict damage on his former team. He may have an edge since he knows the PSG players all too well, having spent years playing alongside them.

The numbers back up Mbappé, too. Even though the goal against Dortmund was his first of the current Club World Cup campaign, he’s taken two shots while posting a 0.41 xG for his contributions. 

With more minutes under his belt, Mbappé should continue to wreak havoc on opposing defences, especially after bagging 31 goals in 34 matches during the 2024/25 La Liga season.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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