New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Team News 14.11.2025
Calendar icon Published 13 Nov 17:48

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Team News 14.11.2025

Giorgi Natsvlishvili
Odds via Tonybet
New York Knicks vs Miami HeatFriday, November 14, 2025, 7:00 PM EST
New York Knicks odds -209
Miami Heat odds+170
Over/Under225.5: -264/+210

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Preview

New York Knicks Team News

The Knicks are absolutely rolling right now, and Mike Brown deserves a ton of credit for what he’s done since taking over the coaching reins this summer. After firing Tom Thibodeau following their Eastern Conference Finals exit, the front office made a bold move hiring Brown, and it’s paying off.

New York sit at 7-3 and just keep stacking wins. They’ve rattled off four straight victories and are a perfect 6-0 at Madison Square Garden this season. That’s the kind of home dominance that championship teams show; even with this small sample size, it’s promising. The offence is humming under Brown’s system, averaging 121.8 points per game and leading the entire league in three-pointers made at 17.0 per contest.

Jalen Brunson continues to prove he’s an absolute superstar. After winning Clutch Player of the Year last season with his ridiculous late-game heroics, he’s picking up right where he left off. Karl-Anthony Towns has also been a monster since arriving from Minnesota, recently dropping 28 points and 12 rebounds on Brooklyn. The Towns-Brunson duo is everything the Knicks hoped it would be.

The supporting cast of Mikal Bridges, OG Anunoby, and Josh Hart has continued to improve since last year and has really stepped up, with the three showing elite two-way play. The bench depth with Jordan Clarkson and Guerschon Yabusele gives Brown options that Thibodeau never had.

Miami Heat Team News

Miami is in the middle of a transformation after trading franchise cornerstone Jimmy Butler to Golden State back in February. That five-team blockbuster completely reshaped this roster, but Erik Spoelstra is doing what he does best – getting maximum effort from whoever suits up.

The Heat sit at 7-4 despite dealing with some brutal injury luck. Tyler Herro hasn’t played a single game this season after offseason foot surgery, and Bam Adebayo has been sidelined since November 5 with a left big toe sprain. Adebayo is listed as day-to-day, but he’s already missed four straight games, and his status for Friday is up in the air.

Here’s the thing, though, Miami just keep finding ways to compete. They’re playing at the fastest pace in the entire NBA, and Norman Powell has been an absolute revelation since arriving from the Clippers this summer. Powell is averaging 23.3 points per game and has given Miami the scoring punch they lost when Butler left. Andrew Wiggins, who came over in that Butler deal, has settled in nicely alongside Davion Mitchell, one of the league’s premier on-ball defenders.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Nikola Jovic have also been solid, with rookie Kel’el Ware being thrust into major minutes in Adebayo’s absence. 

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Main Game Info

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds

This matchup has a really high likelihood of becoming a statement game for the Knicks. They’re riding high on a four-game winning streak, undefeated at home, and getting healthier by the day. Meanwhile, Miami are dealing with significant injury concerns that could tilt this one heavily in New York’s favour.

The biggest question mark is Bam Adebayo’s availability. If he sits for a fifth straight game, the Heat lose their defensive anchor, best rebounder, and most versatile player. Kel’el Ware is talented, but asking a rookie to contain Karl-Anthony Towns is a tall order. Without Adebayo, the Knicks should dominate the paint and control the glass.

Even if Adebayo plays, he won’t be at full strength. Toe injuries linger, especially for big men who rely on lateral quickness and explosiveness. A compromised Bam is still valuable, but he’s not the same difference-maker who can single-handedly swing a game.

The Knicks also have revenge on their minds after that October 26 loss in Miami. Jalen Brunson dropped 37 points in that game, and they still lost because the Heat went on a blistering 23-6 run late. You know that’s been eating at this group, especially with how well they’ve been playing since.

Home court will be massive here. The Garden has been a fortress for New York – they haven’t lost there yet this season and are covering spreads by an average of 17 points per game at home. The crowd will be electric for a Friday night primetime game, and that energy should feed this team.

Miami’s pace could keep things interesting. They love to run, and Spoelstra will try to turn this into a track meet to minimize the Knicks’ size advantage. But New York have shown they can win in different ways under Mike Brown. If Miami want to push, the Knicks have the firepower to trade buckets all night.

We’re leaning toward the hosts laying the points. The Knicks are simply in a better spot right now – healthier, more rested, playing at home, and strongly motivated.

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Betting Tip

The spread here presents excellent value if you believe the Knicks are the real deal. Miami showed in that October matchup that they can hang around, but circumstances have changed dramatically since then. The Heat are dealing with injuries to both Adebayo and Herro, while the Knicks have found their rhythm and are clicking on all cylinders.

New York’s home dominance can’t be overstated. They’re 6-0 at MSG with massive scoring margins. When they get rolling at home, they don’t just win – they blow teams out. Miami don’t have the defensive personnel right now to slow down Brunson, Towns, and the league’s most dangerous three-point shooting attack.

The matchup problems are real. Without a healthy Adebayo, who guards Towns? Who stops Brunson when he gets downhill? The Heat will likely try throwing different bodies at them, but that’s a recipe for foul trouble and defensive breakdowns. 

With the -5.5 line, we’re betting on the Knicks to control this game from start to finish. They should build a comfortable lead by halftime, even if Miami make a late push like they did in October.

This under is a bit better than you might think. Yes, both teams can score, and Miami play at a breakneck pace, but the circumstances favour a lower-scoring game than most expect.

First, the injury situation. Without Herro and potentially without Adebayo, Miami lose two of their most efficient offensive weapons. Powell can score in bunches, but he needs others to create opportunities, and the offensive flow just isn’t the same without those guys. The Heat’s bench has been great, but against a locked-in Knicks defence at MSG, they’ll struggle to find clean looks.

Second, the Knicks’ defensive intensity at home is significantly higher than on the road. They’re protecting their perfect home record, and that means ramping up defensive pressure in a way they don’t always do in random Wednesday night road games. Mike Brown will have them dialled in defensively for this one.

Finally, games in November tend to be grindier than expected. Both teams view each other as potential playoff opponents, so there’s added intensity and physicality that slows things down. The refs will let them play, possessions will be more contested, and scoring won’t come as easily as the regular season pace suggests.

Look for something in the 114-106 range, comfortably clearing the under. 

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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