| Moneyline Pick | Chelsea to Win (+138) |
| Player Prop | Joao Pedro to Score (+250) |
| Same Game Parlay | Chelsea to Win + Joao Pedro to Score + Under 2.5 Goals (+1200) |
| Check Live Odds | |
Napoli vs Chelsea Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Wednesday, January 28, 2026, 03:00 PM EST
- Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
- Location: Naples, Italy
- Last H2H match: Chelsea 4-1 Napoli (2011/12 Champions League Season, March 2012)
Napoli vs Chelsea Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Chelsea to Win
- Odds: +138 (Tonybet)
Chelsea have been prolific in attack under Liam Rosenior and have won three consecutive games. Moreover, in the Champions League league phase, the Blues sit eighth with 13 points, while Napoli are 25th on eight.
The hosts look vulnerable heading into this matchup. They’re dealing with multiple injuries, and Antonio Conte’s usual woes in the Champions League continue. The Italian manager failed to see his side overcome a 10-man Copenhagen squad and oversaw a lacklustre performance.
It promises to be a tough encounter for both clubs, but given Chelsea’s recent form, the visitors should be able to claim a narrow victory.
Napoli vs Chelsea Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Joao Pedro to Score
- Odds: +250 (Tonybet)
João Pedro has posted eight league goals from 7.3 xG, firing 35 shots (17 on target) across 1,690 minutes. The matchup helps because Chelsea should get chances in transition and around the box if Napoli’s press and ball-winning structure is disrupted.
Pedro comes into this fixture fresh off a goal against Palace and has been central to Chelsea’s chance conversion in the current run. He’s also consistently getting into shooting positions, with 30 of his 35 attempts coming from inside the box.
With Chelsea pushing for a top-eight finish, we anticipate Pedro to be at the forefront. Late counter chances should also give the Brazilian forward more possibilities to score.
Napoli vs Chelsea Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Chelsea to Win + Joao Pedro to Score + Under 2.5 Goals
- Odds: +1200 (Tonybet)
Chelsea to Win: Napoli have managed just one win in their last six fixtures. Chelsea’s attacking displays have been sharp and consistent, which should give them the edge in this contest.
Joao Pedro to Score: Pedro is in great form, having found the back of the net against Crystal Palace last time out. His pace and instinct in front of goal make him a strong candidate to get on the scoresheet.
Under 2.5 Goals: We expect the teams to adopt a cautious approach. Napoli are likely to sit back, while Chelsea look to break down a low block, which should keep the overall goal count in check.
Napoli vs Chelsea Team News
Napoli Team News
Napoli’s recent performances have followed a familiar pattern. They won 1-0 against Sassuolo despite being second best on xG (0.61-0.92), followed that up with a 1-1 draw at Copenhagen, where they created decent chance volume (1.51 xG), and a 3-0 loss to Juventus with low attacking threat (0.73 xG).
Scott McTominay is probably their best player this season. He’s recorded four Champions League goals and proved to be a constant aerial threat. One positive is Romelu Lukaku’s return after a long layoff, which gives the Partenopei another possibility in the box.
Napoli are dealing with an injury crisis. Vanja Milinković-Savić, David Neres, Matteo Politano, Kevin De Bruyne, Frank Anguissa, Amir Rrahmani, and Billy Gilmour are all unavailable.
Chelsea Team News
Chelsea’s form and key contributors continue to trend up under Liam Rosenior. Estêvão (goal + assist) and João Pedro (goal) were decisive against Crystal Palace. From a tactical standpoint, Chelsea’s best work is coming from wide overloads and quick regains that feed early shots, averaging 1.75 xG per league match.
Another improvement under the new manager has been their defence. In the last three outings, the team have only conceded once, and that goal came in a game against Crystal Palace that was already settled.
Chelsea’s biggest selection question revolves around Cole Palmer, who has a minor muscle issue and remains questionable. Tosin Adarabioyo and Filip Jorgensen are also doubts, while Dário Essugo, Romeo Lavia, and Levi Colwill are sidelined.
Napoli vs Chelsea: Where to Watch (Canada)
- DAZN
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