| Odds via Tonybet | |
| Moldova vs Italy | Thursday, November 13, 2025, 02:45 AM EST |
| Moldova odds | +4900 |
| Italy odds | -2000 |
| Draw | +1400 |
Moldova vs Italy Preview and Team News
Moldova Team News
Moldova ended their seven-game losing streak with a 1-1 draw against Estonia in the sixth round of the WC 2026 qualifiers. The Tricolours were trailing 1-0 after the first half, but Stefan Bodisteanu’s strike in the 64th minute secured a point for the visitors.
Lilian Popescu’s men sit bottom of the table, with only one point and 26 goals conceded in six matches. The result isn’t surprising, as they were considered heavy underdogs in Group I from the very beginning.
There are no major absentees in Moldova’s squad. We can only note Milsami centre-back Veaceslav Posmac, but he hasn’t been called up since the June international break.
Moldova predicted lineup vs Italy (5-3-2): Avram; Reabciuk, Gherasimencov, Baboglo, Craciun, Forov; Rata, Ionita, Caimacov; Postolachi, Nicolaescu.
Italy Team News
Italy extended their winning run to five games by beating Israel 3-0 in October. Mateo Retegui scored a brace, while Gianluca Mancini added a third in stoppage time, capping off a performance that saw them produce 2.11 xG.
Despite the result, the team are still second in the table, three points adrift of leaders Norway. The latter also boast a +26 goal difference, leaving Gennaro Gattuso’s men at risk of playing in the playoffs, which might endanger the Squadra Azzurra’s chances of reaching the 2026 World Cup.
As expected, the Italians called up their strongest squad. Moise Kean is the only notable absentee. Fiorentina’s forward withdrew due to an injury.
Italy predicted lineup vs Moldova (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Bastoni, Mancini, Dimarco; Barella, Tonali, Cristante; Politano, Retegui, Raspadori.
Moldova vs Italy Main Match Info
- Date and Kickoff Time: Thursday, November 13, 2025, 02:45 AM EST
- Stadium: Zimbru Stadium
- Location: Chișinău, Moldova
- Last match: Italy 2-0 Moldova (June 9, World Cup Qualifiers)
Moldova vs Italy Prediction, Odds
- Pick: Italy (-2.5) Handicap
- Odds: -164 (Tonybet)
- Correct score prediction: Moldova 1-4 Italy
Italy approach the match as the obvious favourites. Not only do they need three points, but improving the goal difference is also pivotal.
The teams have met six times, and the Squadra Azzurra have won all of them. The most recent one held in June was close in the final score, but Italy still dominated the encounter.
Gennaro Gattuso’s men will likely take the initiative from the first minute. Moldova’s chance will be to sit back in defence and wait for their chances on counterattacks. Still, we expect a convincing victory for the visitors.
Moldova vs Italy Betting Tip
- Pick: Over 3.5 Goals
- Odds: -115 (Tonybet)
Even if it seems unrealistic to catch up with Norway in scored goals, the Squadra Azzurra should be oriented towards attack from the beginning. Also, Moldova tend to concede a lot, as seen in their game against Norway, which they lost 11-1.
Italy’s last four matches ended with at least three goals. Their defence isn’t perfect, so Moldova’s forwards could still find some openings.
Mateo Retegui will look forward to scoring his sixth goal in the qualifiers. With Moise Kean absent, he should be the one spearheading the attack. Thus, we anticipate a high-scoring affair.
Moldova vs Italy: Where to Watch (Canada)
- DAZN
Disclaimer: The content provided on this page, including all soccer predictions, odds, and related information, is for entertainment and informational purposes only. While we strive to ensure accuracy and timeliness, we do not guarantee the correctness or reliability of any predictions, data, or information presented here.
Responsible Betting: Betting should be fun and enjoyable, not a solution to financial problems. Always gamble within your means. The outcomes of sporting events are unpredictable, and there is always a risk of losing your stake. Only bet with money you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, seek help from a professional organization. For support, visit https://canadasafetycouncil.org/gambling-addiction/
