| Moneyline Pick | Mexico (-228) |
| Player Prop | Raul Jimenez to score anytime (+150) |
| Same Game Parlay | Under 3.5 goals + Both teams not to score + Mexico to lead at HT (+316) |
| Check Live Odds | |
| Check TonyBet Matches Hub | |
Mexico vs South Africa Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Thursday, June 11, 2026, 3 PM EDT
- Venue: Estadio Banorte
- Location: Mexico City, Mexico
- Last H2H match: South Africa 1-1 Mexico (June 11, 2010, 2010 FIFA World Cup)
Mexico vs South Africa Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Mexico
- Odds: -228 (Tonybet)
Mexico (15th in the FIFA Rankings) are widely expected to come out on top in this 2026 FIFA World Cup opener, and for good reason.
Not only are they the hosts and should feel far more comfortable in the altitude conditions, as Estadio Banorte is located 2,240 metres above sea level, but El Tri’s form leading up to the tournament has been outstanding.
The team have been preparing for this World Cup opener for the past 22 months, according to manager Javier Aguirre.
They enter this fixture having defeated Ghana (W 2-0), Australia (W 1-0), and Serbia (W 5-1) in their last three friendlies. Mexico are also riding an eight-game unbeaten streak (W6, D2), with their last defeat coming against Paraguay in a friendly back in November 2025.
Some moments last only seconds… but stay with you forever. 🔥
Relive Raúl Jiménez’s celebration after scoring in Mexico’s final warm-up match ahead of the Summer Tournament. 💚🤍❤️
Frame by frame, the hope of an entire nation. ✨#SomosMéxico 🇲🇽 pic.twitter.com/4uChQaxLa7
— Mexican National Team (@miseleccionmxEN) June 6, 2026
South Africa, ranked 60th in the world, have gone winless in four friendlies since the conclusion of the 2025-26 AFCON, drawing with Panama (1-1), Nicaragua (0-0), and Jamaica (1-1), while losing to Panama 1-2.
Their preparations have been far from ideal, prompting manager Hugo Broos to express displeasure with the team’s recent performances.
Considering the hostile atmosphere they’ll face, the altitude factor, and the clear gap in talent between the two sides, it’s no surprise to see Mexico as the favourites here.
Victory to wrap up our preparations, Incondicionales! 🤩🇲🇽
We defeated Serbia and now all eyes are on our long-awaited debut on June 11th. 🫶🏟️ #SomosMéxico 💚🤍❤️ | #FinalStop pic.twitter.com/Auki3NCMTf
— Mexican National Team (@miseleccionmxEN) June 5, 2026
The hosts should dominate possession and control the tempo, while South Africa may struggle to hold on even with a defensive approach. Expect El Tri to begin their World Cup campaign with a solid win.
Mexico vs South Africa Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Raul Jimenez to score anytime
- Odds: +150 (Tonybet)
Santiago Gimenez had an underwhelming season with AC Milan in 2025-26, meaning Raul Jimenez, who scored nine goals in 36 Premier League appearances with Fulham last season, could lead the attack. The 35-year-old veteran found the net against Serbia on June 4.
Furthermore, Jimenez has a favourable matchup against an inexperienced South African defence that might struggle with his physicality. As the team’s lone nominal striker in a 4-2-3-1 setting, he should be among the favourites to get on the scoresheet.
Mexico vs South Africa Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Under 3.5 goals + Both teams not to score + Mexico to lead at HT
- Odds: +316 (Tonybet)
Even though Mexico enter the fixture as clear favourites, it wouldn’t be surprising if this game stays under 3.5 total goals.
World Cup openers tend to be tight affairs, and with South Africa likely to adopt a defensive approach, El Tri will have all the pressure to score. Additionally, each of Bafana Bafana’s four friendlies leading to the World Cup featured under 3.5 total goals.
Mexico’s dominance should also limit South Africa’s scoring opportunities. Bafana Bafana failed to find the net more than once in their four friendlies against teams significantly lower-ranked than El Tri. A Mexico lead at halftime is another realistic outcome, as they’ve been ahead at the break in each of their last five matches in which they’ve scored at least once.
Mexico vs South Africa Team News
Mexico Team News
Mexico aren’t dealing with any injury concerns ahead of the tournament’s opener, meaning Aguirre will be able to deploy a very strong starting lineup in front of their fans. That includes most of the players who feature regularly in Europe at club level.
Recent reports suggest captain Edson Alvarez may not start in midfield, with Aguirre likely to choose Erik Lira over him. The other doubt lies at right-back, with Jorge Sanchez and Israel Reyes competing for a place in the starting lineup.
South Africa Team News
Bafana Bafana will have until the very last minute to determine left-back Audrey Modiba’s availability, but the Mamelodi Sundowns defender is expected to train and is likely to start. There are no other fresh injury concerns or major selection issues in the South African camp.
Mexico vs South Africa: Where to Watch (Canada)
- Watch on TSN1, TSN3, TSN4, CTV
- Stream on TSN+, RDS App, CTV App, Crave
Disclaimer: The content provided on this page, including all soccer predictions, odds, and related information, is for entertainment and informational purposes only. While we strive to ensure accuracy and timeliness, we do not guarantee the correctness or reliability of any predictions, data, or information presented here.
Responsible Betting: Betting should be fun and enjoyable, not a solution to financial problems. Always gamble within your means. The outcomes of sporting events are unpredictable, and there is always a risk of losing your stake. Only bet with money you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, seek help from a professional organization. For support, visit https://canadasafetycouncil.org/gambling-addiction/
