| Moneyline Pick | England to Win (+143) |
| Player Prop | Harry Kane to Score (+165) |
| Same Game Parlay | England to Win + Harry Kane to Score + Under 2.5 Goals (+700) |
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Mexico vs England Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Sunday, July 5, 2026, 8:00 PM EDT
- Venue: Mexico City Stadium
- Location: Mexico City, Mexico
- Last H2H match: England 3-1 Mexico (International Friendly, May 2010)
Mexico vs England Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: England to Win
- Odds: +143 (Tonybet)
Mexico carry momentum after a 2-0 win over Ecuador, while England showed resilience by coming from behind late against DR Congo. The performance may not have been perfect, but the result was exactly what Thomas Tuchel’s men needed.
The teams have met four times, with the Three Lions winning every encounter. Mexico are on a seven-game winning streak, but they now face a much stronger opponent.
El Tri’s biggest advantage is the setting. The match will be played in Mexico City, at altitude, and Tuchel has admitted that adapting to those conditions will be a challenge. Still, England’s squad depth and overall quality make them slight favourites.
Mexico vs England Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Harry Kane to Score
- Odds: +165 (Tonybet)
Harry Kane has scored five goals in four World Cup matches, including a brace in England’s 2-1 comeback win over DR Congo. He now has 84 international goals for the Three Lions and remains in outstanding form. Against DR Congo, he also registered five shots, three on target, and 0.49 xG.
Mexico are likely to spend long spells defending against England’s crosses, cut-backs, and second balls. That suits Kane perfectly. He excels in the air and finding space between centre-backs, and remains the team’s primary penalty taker.
Kane will also have the Golden Boot race in mind, giving him even more motivation. Expect the Bayern forward to extend his scoring streak.
Mexico vs England Same Game Parlay
- SGP: England to Win + Harry Kane to Score + Under 2.5 Goals
- Odds: +700 (Tonybet)
England to Win: England’s latest performance attracted some criticism, but they still boast a stronger squad than Mexico. Although playing at the Azteca Stadium presents an added challenge, Tuchel’s side should have enough quality to advance.
Harry Kane to Score: Harry Kane leads the team with five goals. As the focal point of the attack and the primary penalty taker, he remains the most likely player to get on the scoresheet.
Under 2.5 Goals: Three of Mexico’s last four matches have produced fewer than three goals, while two of England’s four games have also finished under that line. In the Round of 16, we expect the teams to be more focused on defence and avoid going all out in attack.
Mexico vs England Team News
Mexico Team News
Mexico finally ended their knockout curse with a 2-0 win over Ecuador, their first World Cup knockout victory since 1986. They generated 1.02 xG, dominated throughout the match, scored two first-half goals, and controlled the tempo in the second half.
Raúl Jiménez returned to the starting XI against Ecuador after being rested earlier and immediately scored. Julián Quiñones also found the net and now has three goals at this World Cup. Roberto Alvarado leads the team with three assists.
El Tri have no confirmed injury concerns ahead of their clash against England. Quiñones picked up a minor strain, but he is likely to be fit for this match.
England Team News
England’s comeback victory over DR Congo highlighted both their resilience and their defensive vulnerabilities. They conceded after just seven minutes, allowed Yoane Wissa to hit the post with a clear chance, and needed Kane’s goals in the 75th and 86th minutes to advance. Similar defensive lapses could prove costly against Mexico.
Harry Kane has scored five goals at this World Cup and has taken his overall tally at the tournament to 13 goals. Anthony Gordon transformed the last match after coming off the bench, contributing to two goals. Jude Bellingham also forced big saves with three shots on target.
Declan Rice finished the game with ice on his hamstring after playing 90 minutes. Djed Spence also required treatment on his calf after being substituted in the 70th minute.
Mexico vs England: Where to Watch (Canada)
- DAZN
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