Italy vs France Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds (Nov 12)
Calendar icon Published 10 Nov 09:02

Italy vs France Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds (Nov 12)

Giorgi Natsvlishvili
Moneyline PickFrance to Win (-136)
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals (-164)
ComboFrance to Win + Kylian Mbappé to Score (+160)
Check Live Odds

Italy vs France Main Match Info

Italy vs France Moneyline Prediction

France is unbeaten in four Nations League matches, with three victories and one draw. Les Bleus defeated Turkey and Belgium by identical 1-0 scorelines in September before drawing 1-1 with Italy and beating Belgium 4-1 in October.

Italy’s campaign has been less consistent. Roberto Mancini’s side opened with a 2-0 home defeat to Belgium but bounced back with a 4-1 victory in Turkey, a draw in France, and a 3-1 home win over Turkey.

Les Bleus’ defensive consistency provides a significant advantage. Zinedine Zidane’s team has conceded just twice in four group games, compared with Italy’s five goals allowed.

The visitors also possess considerable attacking quality through Kylian Mbappé, Michael Olise, and Bradley Barcola. Their pace and movement could exploit spaces when Italy commits players forward.

France’s unbeaten record, stronger defensive performances, and individual attacking quality support the away victory.

Italy vs France Total Goals Prediction

Italy has scored eight goals and conceded five across four Nations League outings, averaging 2.00 scored and 1.25 allowed. Its fixtures have therefore averaged 3.25 goals.

France’s corresponding figures are seven scored and two conceded, averaging 1.75 and 0.50 per game, respectively. Its matches have produced an average of 2.25 goals.

Recent results offer mixed evidence. Two of Italy’s four group fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals, with its victories over Turkey producing five and four goals, respectively.

France has cleared the 2.5-goal threshold only once in four Nations League matches, although its latest 4-1 victory over Belgium demonstrated its attacking potential.

Nevertheless, Italy’s need to challenge Les Bleus in the group standings could encourage a more adventurous approach. Expect the Azzurri to push forward at home and France to punish the space on the break, a pattern that should produce goals at both ends.

Italy vs France Combo

France’s unbeaten Nations League campaign makes it the favourite. Zidane’s team has collected 10 points from four matches, three more than Italy.

Kylian Mbappé’s return makes the goalscorer selection particularly appealing. The France captain scored the winner against Turkey on September 25 before suffering a knee injury that ruled him out of the next three internationals.

His subsequent club performances have been encouraging. Mbappé scored nine goals in eight appearances across La Liga and the Champions League before receiving his November international call-up.

France also has the creative quality to provide him with scoring opportunities. Michael Olise, Rayan Cherki, and Bradley Barcola can stretch Italy’s defence, potentially creating space for Mbappé to attack centrally.

Both legs follow one script: France wins on the counterattack, with Mbappé finishing the chances the Azzurri‘s high line concedes.

Italy vs France Team News

Italy Team News

Out: Gianluca Mancini (thigh), Giovanni Di Lorenzo (muscle), Matteo Ruggeri (hamstring).

Mancini and Di Lorenzo’s reported injuries could disrupt Italy’s defensive organization against France’s pace.

Francesco Pio Esposito has found the net twice in the current Nations League campaign, making him an important attacking option. Italy has also scored eight goals across its last three group fixtures. Roberto Mancini must balance that momentum against France’s counterattacking threat.

The Azzurri have had more than five weeks since their 3-1 victory over Turkey to prepare for this international window.

France Team News

Out: Ousmane Dembélé (thigh), Esteban Lepaul (ankle).

Kylian Mbappé’s inclusion is particularly significant following his September knee injury. The striker has returned to competitive club soccer and scored nine goals in eight matches before this international break. Zinedine Zidane has also selected uncapped attacking midfielder Pablo Pagis, providing another creative alternative.

Ousmane Dembélé’s absence is noteworthy for the visitors. The 2025 Ballon d’Or winner has scored 13 goals for the national team and is a regular starter.

Like Italy, France has had more than five weeks to prepare for this fixture.

Italy vs France: Where to Watch (Canada)

Disclaimer: The content provided on this page, including all soccer predictions, odds, and related information, is for entertainment and informational purposes only. While we strive to ensure accuracy and timeliness, we do not guarantee the correctness or reliability of any predictions, data, or information presented here. 

Responsible Betting: Betting should be fun and enjoyable, not a solution to financial problems. Always gamble within your means. The outcomes of sporting events are unpredictable, and there is always a risk of losing your stake. Only bet with money you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, seek help from a professional organization. For support, visit https://canadasafetycouncil.org/gambling-addiction/

Cookie Notice

This site uses cookies. Find out more about use of cookies in our privacy policy.

Cookie Policy