Fenerbahçe vs Roma Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 10)
Calendar icon Published 09 Sep 10:32

Fenerbahçe vs Roma Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 10)

Giorgi Natsvlishvili
Moneyline PickRoma to Win (+123)
Player PropDonyell Malen to Score (+119)
Same Game ParlayRoma to Win + Donyell Malen to Score + Over 2.5 Goals (+320)
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Fenerbahçe vs Roma Main Match Info

Fenerbahçe vs Roma Moneyline Prediction

Roma have started their Serie A campaign with a perfect record, scoring 10 goals and conceding just one, including a 4-0 away win over Lecce and Saturday’s 2-1 comeback against Atalanta. The Atalanta performance was particularly convincing: the Giallorossi produced 39 shots, 10 on target, and 3.25 xG while allowing just 0.77 xGA.

Fenerbahçe’s latest derby exposed exactly the weaknesses Roma can exploit. They lost 1-2 at home to Beşiktaş, were outshot 14-9 and generated only 0.59 xG to Beşiktaş’s 1.75, and managed just 13 touches in the opposition box compared with their opponents’ 27.

Playing in Istanbul will be challenging, but Roma’s current form makes them slight favourites in this matchup. Expect the visitors to grab a narrow victory.

Fenerbahçe vs Roma Player Prop

Donyell Malen has already scored five Serie A goals this season. Across Roma’s opening three league matches against Fiorentina, Lecce, and Atalanta, he has taken 13 shots in 195 minutes, with seven on target. Even when he failed to score against Atalanta, he still attempted three shots in 62 minutes.

Fenerbahçe are at home and cannot simply sit back in their own penalty area for 90 minutes. Roma arrive having won all three Serie A games and will have opportunities whenever the hosts push numbers forward. With Malen in fantastic form, expect the Dutch striker to find the back of the net.

Fenerbahçe vs Roma Same Game Parlay

Roma to Win: Roma received a major boost after delivering a late comeback against Atalanta. Fenerbahçe, meanwhile, lost at home to Beşiktaş. With Gian Piero Gasperini’s side playing aggressively, the visitors are slight favourites.

Donyell Malen to Score: Malen has already scored five goals in Serie A. His impressive recent form suggests that he should find the net again in this meeting.

Over 2.5 Goals: Each of Roma’s last five games has produced three or more goals. Fenerbahçe are also aggressive in attack, having scored in 16 consecutive matches. With that in mind, we expect a high-scoring clash.

Fenerbahçe vs Roma Team News

Fenerbahçe Team News 

The 1-2 home defeat to Beşiktaş exposed weaknesses that Roma might target. Fenerbahçe produced only 0.59 xG, nine shots and two on target, while their opponents recorded 1.75 xG, 14 shots, six on target, and 27 touches in the opposition box. Even more revealingly, Fenerbahçe managed only 13 opposition-box touches despite having 50% possession.

The club’s key attacking players remain Mason Greenwood, Oğuz Aydın, and Vedat Muriqi. Muriqi was particularly effective in the 2-0 win over Samsunspor, scoring after three minutes and finishing the match with five shots, 0.77 xG, and six touches inside the box. Oğuz also found the back of the net and produced 0.29 xG.

Matteo Guendouzi is suspended, while Jayden Oosterwolde is unavailable and Marco Asensio remains doubtful.

Roma Team News

The Atalanta match provides the strongest evidence, as Roma faced their first serious opponent and still produced overwhelming underlying numbers. Gasperini’s team had 67% possession, 39 shots, 10 shots on target, 3.25 xG, and 73 touches inside the Atalanta penalty area, while allowing only six shots, two on target, and 0.77 xGA.

Donyell Malen is the Giallorossi’s in-form player. He is Serie A’s leading scorer with five goals. Paulo Dybala has recorded four assists in three league starts, including three against Fiorentina. Matías Soulé has tallied two goals and one assist in only 133 Serie A minutes, including a late goal against Atalanta.

Lorenzo Pellegrini is the only significant doubt due to a thigh issue.

Fenerbahçe vs Roma: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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