Canada vs USA Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (Feb 10)
Calendar icon Published 10 Feb 07:30

Canada vs USA Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (Feb 10)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickUSA 
Player PropAlexandra Carpenter over 0.5 goals 
Same Game ParlayUSA to lead after first period + Over 5.5 goals + Canada to score over 1.5 goals
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Canada vs USA Main Match Info

Canada vs USA Moneyline Prediction

Canada have won their first two games of the 2026 Olympics by a sizable margin, topping Switzerland (W 4-0) and the Czech Republic (W 5-1) while racking up 89 shots on goal in total. 

The Canucks looked far more challenged against the Czechs, though, allowing one goal on 19 shots, and that doesn’t bode well for their chances of pulling off an upset against their American opponents.

Using the phrase “pull off an upset” and “Canada” in the same sentence looks odd when talking about ice hockey, but the supremacy of Team USA in recent head-to-heads simply can’t be ignored. 

The Stars and Stripes have won each of their last six meetings with the Canucks, including the two at the 2025 World Championships and four friendlies between November and December in 2025.

The USA have cruised to victory in their first three encounters of the tournament, scoring at least five goals in each against Finland (W 5-0), the Czech Republic (W 5-1), and Switzerland (W 5-0). Even though Canada represent their toughest test to date, they should have enough offensive firepower to get the job done. This promises to be a closer game than their previous ones, but Team USA should extend their undefeated run with a victory here.

Canada vs USA Player Prop

If the United States are to secure a seventh consecutive win over Canada across all competitions, they’ll need to have their star players performing at their best. No one in the current Olympic run has been more decisive for Team USA than Alexandra Carpenter. 

The 31-year-old forward, who plays for the Seattle Torrent in the PWHL, is tied for the tournament lead with five points from three games.

Canada vs USA Same Game Parlay

Our three-leg parlay points to a game in which the USA will aim to set the tone early, and it wouldn’t be surprising if they quickly build a lead. That would continue a clear tendency in this Olympic run, as they’ve led after the first period in each of their three outings at this group stage.

This also shapes up as a high-scoring matchup, driven largely by the sheer offensive talent on both sides. 

With each of the USA’s three games and Canada’s two producing at least five goals, the stage is set for another high-scoring affair.

Last but not least, the Canucks should score multiple goals here. They did it in the final of the 2025 World Championships against the Stars and Stripes. 

With nine goals scored across their first two Olympic encounters, they have enough quality to pose a real threat to the American defence – one Team USA has yet to face in the current Olympic run.

Canada vs USA Team News

Canada Team News

Canada aren’t expected to alter their lines too much ahead of this pivotal contest against the USA. The Canucks still have one group-stage game remaining against Finland on February 12. That said, a good performance here against the United States would certainly mean they’re serious about their quest to bring home another gold medal.

While she’s yet to find the back of the net in the current Olympic campaign, veteran forward Marie-Philip Poulin needs to step up for Canada since she only has one assist so far. Other players to keep close tabs on are Sarah Fillier (two goals, one assist) and Julia Gosling, who has three goals already and should be the team’s biggest threat in front of goal.

USA Team News

The United States will be at full strength for this clash, and similar to Canada, it’s hard to see them making too many changes to the lines or their defensive pairings. After all, the coaching staff should be extremely happy with a lineup that has scored 15 goals while allowing just one through the first three games. The play of the defensive pairings has been simply elite.

When it comes to players to watch for Team USA in this marquee matchup against Canada, the name of Alexandra Carpenter stands out with three goals and five total points thus far. However, Joy Dunne (G2, A2), Hilary Knight (G2, A2), Caroline Harvey (G1, A3), and Megan Keller (G1, A3) are also players to keep close tabs on.

Canada vs USA: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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