| Moneyline Pick | Canada to Win (-189) |
| Player Prop | Jonathan David to Score |
| Same Game Parlay | Canada to Win + Jonathan David to Score + Under 3.5 Goals |
| Check Live Odds | |
Canada vs Iceland Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Saturday, March 28, 2026, 01:00 PM ET
- Venue: BMO Field
- Location: Toronto, Canada
- Last H2H match: Canada 0-1 Iceland (January 2020, Friendly International)
Canada vs Iceland Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Canada to Win
- Odds: -189 (Tonybet)
Tactically, this is a favourable spot for Canada, provided they impose themselves early. Under Jesse Marsch, the team are built around aggressive pressing and quick-strike transitions. Iceland’s recent numbers suggest they are vulnerable when pinned back. France put up 20 shots and about 2.0 xG against them in a 2-2 draw.
Iceland have also struggled on the road, losing four of their last five away fixtures. Canada, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last four at home, and we expect the hosts to claim the victory.
Canada vs Iceland Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Jonathan David to Score
In Serie A this season, David has recorded five goals from 8.19 xG (7.40 non-penalty xG), along with 35 shots, 15 on target, 29 chances created, and 1,420 minutes played. For Canada, he is the country’s all-time leading scorer with 37 goals in 73 caps.
The game script points toward the Canucks controlling the attack and producing sustained pressure in the final third. That typically suits David, who excels at timing runs between centre-backs and arriving in the six-yard area for rebounds and cutbacks. As such, he stands out as the most likely scorer.
Canada vs Iceland Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Canada to Win + Jonathan David to Score + Under 3.5 Goals
Canada to Win: Canada are strong favourites at home, and Iceland’s recent form reinforces that outlook. The visitors have lost four of their last five away matches and failed to score in their previous two.
Jonathan David to Score: David, the team’s primary forward, has netted five goals in Serie A for Juventus this season. With Les Rouges expected to control proceedings, he is well positioned to find the net.
Under 3.5 Goals: Canada’s last 10 outings have produced fewer than four goals. Iceland have only scored once in their previous five on the road, suggesting a relatively low-scoring contest is likely.
Canada vs Iceland Team News
Canada Team News
Canada’s identity is clear – they defend better than they attack. They lost to Australia 1-0 despite producing 17 shots and 1.64 xG to their opponents’ 0.54, suggesting the underlying process was strong even if the finishing wasn’t. Against Ecuador, they dug out a 0-0 draw with 10 men, highlighting their defensive resilience.
Derek Cornelius and Luc de Fougerolles are back in camp after dealing with ankle issues. Tajon Buchanan arrives with six La Liga goals for Villarreal this season, and Cyle Larin returns to the squad as a penalty-box threat, with three goals for Southampton.
The biggest absence is captain Alphonso Davies. Stephen Eustáquio is also out after a dead-leg complication developed into a hematoma. Promise David is recovering from hip surgery.
Iceland Team News
Iceland missed out on qualification for the 2026 World Cup after a 2-0 defeat to Ukraine. They followed that with a heavy 0-4 friendly defeat to Mexico, where they allowed 4.67 xGA and 24 shots.
Albert Guðmundsson remains Iceland’s most dangerous attacker. He’s recorded five goals and four assists in Serie A this season for Fiorentina. Orri Óskarsson is the standout young forward, having scored four goals for Real Sociedad in LaLiga.
Iceland arrive in Toronto with one clear absentee. Forward Andri Guðjohnsen is unavailable due to an injury. Daníel Leó Grétarsson has also withdrawn and been replaced by Hjörtur Hermannsson.
Canada vs Iceland: Where to Watch (Canada)
- TSN
- RDS
- OneSoccer
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