Moneyline PickBarcelona (-589)
Player PropLamine Yamal to score (+112)
Same Game ParlayBarcelona Win + Lamine Yamal to score + Over 2.5 (+110)
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FC Barcelona vs Real Mallorca Main Match Info

FC Barcelona vs Real Mallorca Moneyline Prediction

Barcelona are clear favourites for this tie, undefeated against Mallorca in 17 encounters. The Catalans have won 11 of their last 12 La Liga matches, having scored 16 goals in their last five games across all competitions, recording the highest xG (56) in the league.

Mallorca haven’t kept a clean sheet in eight matches, while also registering the fourth-lowest recorded xG (25.1). They have won just 1 of their 11 away matches this season.

Barcelona will dominate the clash with high possession, in an attempt to stretch Mallorca’s compact block on both flanks. -589 is a safe bet, with Barcelona winning the last encounter in August 2025 comfortably (3-0). 

Their home record is the second-best in La Liga, as they are yet to lose at Camp Nou (10 W).

FC Barcelona vs Real Mallorca Player Prop

Lamine Yamal Anytime Goal is the standout prop because he scored in four consecutive games. His dribbling often leaves defenders confused, leading to the second-highest xA/90 (0.43) of the team.

The right-winger will be expected to lead the team against Mallorca’s deep block, with Raphinha out due to injury. 

He will look to isolate left-back Johan Mojica in one-on-one duels as La Liga’s best dribbler (5.8 dribbles/90). The 18-year-old is also a great shot-taker: Yamal has registered 4.5 shots on target per ninety minutes.

His +112 score implies a 47% chance of scoring, which undervalues his actual probability given his recent involvement in front of the net—having scored in four consecutive games. Taking into account Raphinha’s injury, we can only expect Lamine Yamal to take more responsibility as a goalscorer.

FC Barcelona vs Real Mallorca Same Game Parlay

We predict a siege script, with Barcelona pushing Mallorca back into their own half, as Real Mallorca look to salvage points. The Catalans must only beware of guarding Vedat Muriqi, whose 15-goal tally equals half of Mallorca’s total goals.

Barcelona will need Lamine Yamal to stay wide to challenge left-back Johan Mojica in one-on-one challenges. He scored Barcelona’s third goal in the last encounter between the two teams. No player has more goal involvements than Lamine Yamal (17).

Barcelona’s high xG (56) in La Liga backs that they can create high-quality chances against any team, and can also rely on Robert Lewandowski (0.99 xG/90) and Ferrán Torres (0.8 xG/90) to score

FC Barcelona vs Real Mallorca Team news

FC Barcelona Team News 

Barcelona dominated their weekend match against Elche (3-1), recording 6.44 xG as Lamine Yamal, Ferrán Torres, and Robert Lewandowski all scored. 18-year-old Yamal created 8 big chances, becoming the first teenager to do so in La Liga. 

The Catalans defeated Albacete (2-1) despite missing Raphinha, whose thigh injury is expected to keep him out for the next few weeks. 

Hansi Flick’s vertical attacking style often bypasses La Liga’s compact block, leading his team to record the most shots on target per match (7.5). 

Frenkie de Jong will serve his suspension, while Pedri, Gavi, and Andreas Christensen will be sidelined due to injuries.

Real Mallorca Team News

Real Mallorca thrashed Sevilla last weekend (4-1), making it their largest victory in La Liga since the 5-1 victory against Celta Vigo in 2020. The team had scored only four goals in their last four matches prior to the Sevilla win.

Los Bermellones haven’t kept a clean sheet in eight matches due to a combination of a weak backline and a lack of creativity. Although centre-back David López is 195 cm tall, he only claims 4.09 duels per ninety minutes. 

On the wings, Jan Virgili hasn’t settled yet, while Pablo Maffeo’s involvement in the attack means the right-wing is often exposed to counter-attacks. 

Mallorca have allowed 36.1 xG, which is 11 more than the xG they have generated (25.1). Only two teams have conceded more goals than Mallorca’s 10 in their last five games.

FC Barcelona vs Real Mallorca: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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