Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 09/12/2023
Calendar icon Updated 10 Dec 16:29

Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 09/12/2023

Kaleb Vanderhorst

Odds via Tonybet

Aston Villa vs Arsenal predictionDecember 9, 12:30 p.m EDT
Aston Villa+235
Arsenal odds+114
Draw+265
Over\Under2.5 -137/ +116

It’s Aston Villa vs Arsenal, and for the Gunners, it’s one of the toughest tests of the season. They will meet an Aston Villa team that boasts an impressive record of 14 consecutive wins at Villa Park. And the last to defeat Aston Villa on its pitch was … Arsenal.

Both teams are contending with high stakes as they battle for a top position in the Premier League. The Villans will be looking to propel themselves to the top of the table, while Arsenal will be focused on maintaining its number one position.

  1. Arsenal – 36 points
  2. Liverpool– 34 points
  3. Aston Villa – 32 points
  4. Manchester City– 30 points
  5. Tottenham Hotspur – 27 points

After winning eight of their last 10 matches, Aston Villa not only has dominated home as of late but really comes into this one with a full head of steam following their close 1-0 win against Manchester City, decided by a goal in the 74th minute by Leon Bailey.

Aston Villa’s Last Five Matches

06\12\2023, Aston Villa vs Manchester City 1-0 – Premier League
03\12\2023, Bournemouth vs Aston Villa 2-2 – Premier League
30\11\2023, Aston Villa vs Legia 2-1  – UEFA Conference League
08\11\2023, Tottenham vs Aston Villa 1-2 – Premier League
04\11\2023,  Aston Villa vs Fulham 3-1  – Premier League

Arsenal will by no means take a loss sitting down, though, which is evident from their crazy 4-3 comeback over Luton Town. 

All three Arsenal goals were conceded primarily due to the disastrous play of David Raya. The Arsenal goalkeeper showed poor reaction to the opponents’ shots and struggled in corner situations. On the other hand, Raya played an important role in helping his teammates play the ball at the start of attacks. Whether he will play in the next matches depends on the decision of the Arsenal coaching staff.


Unai Emery’s tactical prowess was evident in Aston Villa’s impressive win over Manchester City, where his strategies effectively countered Pep Guardiola’s tactics. 

Aston Villa maintained a high level of intensity throughout their match against Manchester City. In the 4-4-2 formation, the Villans covered the center of the pitch in a super compact manner, which caused City to have a lot of trouble moving the ball into the other half.

At the same time, Aston Villa played with a very flexible 4-4-2\4-2-2-2 formation in attack. McGinn, Tielemans, Kamara, and Douglas Luiz changed positions in the other half very unpredictably for the opponent. Bailey and Watkins benefited from the gaps between City players to burst into free areas. 


With Manchester City playing without their main midfielder, Rodri, it was easier for Aston Villa to dominate the center of the pitch and regularly overcome the opponent’s pressing. However, Arsenal, who will have Declan Rice in the starting lineup, are unlikely to allow the hosts to dominate in the center.

Under Emery’s guidance, Villa has emerged as a tough competitor. Meanwhile, Arsenal faces a challenge with Mikel Arteta’s touchline suspension after receiving his third yellow card of the season for overzealous celebration against Luton. This temporarily leaves assistant manager Albert Stuivenberg to lead, potentially impacting Arsenal’s in-game strategies and decisions.

Considering Villa’s home record and their recent impressive performances, they definitely hold a slight advantage over Arsenal. While the aggressive high line of Villa could potentially offer openings for the Gunners, the Villans should still be able to pull this one out. Expect a back-and-forth slugfest, with Aston Villa walking away with it near the 90th minute.

Aston Villa vs Arsenal Main Match Info

Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction, Odds

Despite the fact that bookmakers have given Arsenal a slight edge in this one, we still have to give it to Aston Villa. The home-field advantage combined with Arsenal’s near loss against the weak Luton Town Roster makes us lean in the Villa’s favour.

In terms of team line-ups, Aston Villa could welcome Matty Cash back to the starting XI, possibly moving Ezri Konsa to a central role. The inclusion of Leon Bailey, even after his recent exertions, could provide a tactical edge for Villa.

On Arsenal’s side, dealing with injury issues, Oleksandr Zinchenko might step in for Jakub Kiwior. These potential adjustments indicate both teams’ efforts to fine-tune their squad based on recent form and player fitness.

While it will definitely be a close matchup throughout the entire 90 minutes, the hard press from Villa will likely prove to be just a bit too much for the Gunners.

Aston Villa vs Arsenal Betting Tip

Aside from a disappointing loss Aston Villa suffered to Nottingham Forest earlier in the month, both of these squads have had no issues finding the back of the net. Both squads consistently score, with very strong offensive lines on both sides of the pitch. This is reflected in an average of 2.27 goals per match for Villa and 2.2 goals for the Gunners. 

Just take a look at some of their top scorers. Aston Villa is led in scoring by Ollie Watkins, who has managed to put one in three of their last five showings, adding to his total of eight goals this season. 

Conversely, The Gunners have Bukayo Saka and Martin Ødegaard, who scored two and five goals in their last five matches, respectively.

Neither squad struggles to run up the score, even against the world’s top talent. It seems like a no-brainer to guess that both teams will put in a couple of goals in this matchup.

Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.

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