St. Louis City SC vs Toronto FC Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 19)
Calendar icon Updated 18 Sep 11:17

St. Louis City SC vs Toronto FC Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 19)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickSt. Louis City SC (-159)
Player PropRafael Navarro to score anytime (+102)
Same Game ParlaySt. Louis City SC to win + Over 2.5 goals + Over 8.5 corners (+250)
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St. Louis City SC vs Toronto FC Main Match Info

St. Louis City SC vs Toronto FC Moneyline Prediction

St. Louis City SC played in midweek but cruised to a 3-0 win over the Colorado Rapids in the 2026 US Open Cup semifinals, securing a spot in the final against the Columbus Crew on October 21. That victory extended the club’s 17-match unbeaten run across all competitions (W11, D6). They haven’t lost since their 2-0 defeat to Austin FC back on May 3.

Toronto FC were showing signs of a turnaround and assembled a seven-game undefeated streak (W3, D4) before a 3-0 loss to Orlando City SC on September 12. The Reds look like a much-improved side following the 2026 FIFA World Cup, but their defensive woes continue to hurt them. They’ve gone nine straight matches without a clean sheet (W3, D4, L2), which doesn’t bode well for them given the opponent they’ll face.

Toronto FC could put up a fight and threaten St. Louis at times, but the hosts are playing their best soccer of the season and shouldn’t have much trouble getting past an inconsistent Reds side. Look for City SC to clinch the win, a result that would also keep their ongoing undefeated run at home alive (W6, D3).

St. Louis City SC vs Toronto FC Player Prop

Few strikers in the league are as hot as Rafael Navarro right now. The Brazilian joined St. Louis midway through the season from Colorado and has bagged four goals in his three appearances (two starts) with his new team.

Navarro delivered a brace against the Timbers on September 10 and bagged two more goals against Minnesota United on September 13. With 14 goals in the 2026 MLS campaign, he should lead St. Louis’ attack against a Toronto defence that has allowed 46 goals in just 25 league matches in 2026.

St. Louis City SC vs Toronto FC Same Game Parlay

St. Louis City SC have been one of the best MLS teams this season, while Toronto have sat near the bottom of the Eastern Conference all season. It’s hard to see any outcome other than a home win.

The over on goals looks promising too, as each of St. Louis’ last five MLS matches and four of Toronto’s last five have produced at least three goals.

I’m also backing the over in the 8.5-corner market, based on the tendencies both clubs have shown this season. The Reds allow 5.5 corners per game, and their matches average 10.4 total corners in 2026, the fifth-highest mark in MLS. St. Louis averages 5.2 corners per game, strengthening the case for the over.

St. Louis City SC vs Toronto FC Team News

St. Louis City SC Team News 

St. Louis City SC will be without several players, but all of their key starters should be available. Palmer Ault and Brendan McSorley are considered game-time decisions due to ankle injuries, but neither would be expected to start even if available.

Kyle Hiebert (hip) and Celio Pompeu (knee) are out, with Hiebert set to return after the international break and Pompeu likely to miss the remainder of the 2026 MLS regular season. Key players such as Rafael Navarro, Roman Burki, Daniel Edelman, Simon Becher, and Timo Baumgartl should all be in the starting lineup on Saturday.

Toronto FC Team News

Toronto FC have confirmed that Nelson Palacio (thigh) won’t return for the rest of the 2026 MLS season, and they’ll also be without key playmaker Djordje Mihailovic. The midfielder is dealing with a hamstring issue and won’t return until after the international break.

Lazar Stefanovic (foot), Jonathan Osorio (knee), and Richard Chukwu (undisclosed) are all considered game-time decisions. However, only Osorio has a realistic chance of starting if he’s fit.

St. Louis City SC vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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