Arsenal vs Aston Villa, Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 13/04/2024
Calendar icon Updated 12 Apr 10:41

Arsenal vs Aston Villa, Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 13/04/2024

Kai Edvard Iliev Kai Edvard Iliev

Odds via Tonybet

Arsenal vs Aston VillaApril 13, 2024, 11:30 AM ET
Arsenal odds-334
Aston Villa odds+840
Draw+500
Over\Under3 -132/+112

Arsenal vs Aston Villa. Shape of the Teams

Arsenal is first in the Premier League standings, and while it might seem great to be the leader, with great power comes great responsibility. Every game in their campaign is now a must-win. 

Liverpool did not win their last EPL game and lost first place to Arsenal. However, the title race is not only about Liverpool but also about Manchester City – a hungry pack of wolves who are only one point behind. 

Any slip-up could mean the end of Arsenal’s number 1 position and shatter Arteta’s dreams of winning the Premier League title, a trophy the Gunners haven’t won in this decade.

Arsenal suffered their last defeat away from home against Porto (1-0) in the Champions League in February. Since then, only two teams have held Arsenal to draws: Manchester City (0-0 at the Etihad) and Bayern Munich (2-2 at the Emirates Stadium). 

With Emery playing against a club he managed in the past, he will likely use the Emery playbook with an old-school low block, often deemed not ambitious enough at the top level. However, Aston Villa are still 5th in the league, neck and neck with Tottenham, who also have 60 points.

This season, Arsenal lost against Aston Villa in back December (1-0). However, that game was played away from home, and playing at the Emirates presents a different narrative.

The focus is still on the Premier League – but the prospect of Arsenal advancing further in the Champions League means that Arteta faces the tricky task of managing his squad, unable to afford more injuries at this stage of the season.

Interestingly enough, this Premier League clash will be a tactical duel between two Spanish managers and promises to be a masterclass in strategy. 

Due to injuries, Aston Villa will be handicapped without key players like Mings, Ramsey, Kamara, and Buendia, while Douglas Luis is suspended for this game.

Arsenal vs Aston Villa Match Info

Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction, Odds

This matchup is a quintessential Premier League clash – Arsenal, eager for a win to stay atop, and Aston Villa, more than happy with a draw. 

However, with Aston Villa’s lengthy injury list – unlike Arsenal, which only has Timber sidelined – the tie at the Emirates is likely to favour Arteta’s team.

Aston Villa is in a good mood after their 2-1 European victory against Lille. The Villans are in a decent spot in the Premier League, and although their position is stable, it is not yet entirely secure.

If Arsenal wants to avoid a 1-0 victory like last time, Arteta should look at Leverkusen’s win against West Ham in the Europa League, when Xabi Alonso’s men faced a deep block but kept their composure without overcommitting

As Guardiola often repeats, it’s a common problem for Positional Play proponents at the highest level. Not overcommitting means remaining patient and waiting for the crack. Depending on the quality of the teams, the wait can be short or long. 

One of the reasons for Emery being the coach he is, is that his teams only tend to succumb to pressure after long spells – a trait not all teams can muster the patience for. This, in a nutshell, will be the headline of the match: How patient will Arsenal be?

On Arsenal’s side, it is obvious that there might be a need to rotate. Next week the Gunners will visit the Allianz Arena, and playing this far in the Champions League is a new sight for the majority of Arsenal’s players. 

But who will play is an enigma – and more importantly, it will be about mind games. The key for Arsenal is to secure the opening goal in the first 20 minutes, which could simplify the remainder of the game. But chances are, it will not be that easy. 

The main question is whether Arteta and his players can find the same composure as Xabi Alonso’s Leverkusen and keep the pressure on until the break. With the Emirates crowd becoming the 12th player, only time will tell if Arsenal can crack Villa’s defence without compromising their tactical integrity.

Arsenal vs Aston Villa Betting Tip

Predicting Emery’s tactics against top-tier teams is often a gamble. It’s either a masterstroke or a misstep – there’s no in-between. 

Many will remember his time at Villarreal and how they advanced in Europe. But this scenario is unlikely to repeat on Saturday. Instead, we might see a more cautious, perhaps even stubborn Emery at the helm.

This far in the season, Arteta’s squad has had more than enough experience with low blocks and with no notable injuries, this is likely to be a victory for the Gunners. 

However, these types of clashes are often decided by fine margins – whether it’s clinching a win, settling for a draw, or suffering a defeat.

Given Arsenal’s robust defence over the past months, it’s logical to expect Aston Villa to struggle to find the back of the net. Whether the game adheres to this script will unfold only on Saturday

Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.

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