AC Milan vs Benfica Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 16)
Calendar icon Updated 15 Sep 10:26

AC Milan vs Benfica Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 16)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickAC Milan (+112)
Player PropGoncalo Ramos to score anytime (+150)
Same Game ParlayBoth teams to score + Over 2.5 goals + AC Milan under 4.5 corners (+240)
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AC Milan vs Benfica Main Match Info

AC Milan vs Benfica Moneyline Prediction

AC Milan extended their unbeaten start to the 2026-27 season with a combative 2-2 draw against Lazio in the latest Serie A round, leaving them with a W2, D2 record. On paper, they’re one of the strongest teams in the 2026-27 Europa League, with a manager who knows the competition well, as Ruben Amorim took Manchester United to the final in the 2024-25 season.

The Rossoneri are coming off back-to-back draws against Juventus and Lazio, but they should feel confident about their chances, as they’ve scored at least two goals in three of their four league encounters in 2026-27. However, their opponents are in red-hot form and can’t be underestimated. Benfica are unbeaten in their last 11 competitive fixtures across all competitions (W9, D2).

The Eagles’ dominant run began with a 5-0 home win over St. Gallen in the early stages of the Europa League qualifying rounds, and they haven’t looked back since. The Portuguese giants have averaged 3.54 goals per outing during that span and have kept four clean sheets. They’re also on a five-match winning run in the Primeira Liga after a 2-2 draw in the opener against Academico Vizeu.

On paper, Benfica should pose a major threat to AC Milan given their recent form and overall results. However, the Portuguese club haven’t faced any team remotely close to the Rossoneri’s level in their 11-game undefeated stretch. Milan have the better squad and home-field advantage, so I’m backing them to open their Europa League campaign with a victory.

AC Milan vs Benfica Player Prop

Goncalo Ramos has been one of AC Milan’s standout performers in the early days of the 2026-27 season. The numbers might not fully back the former PSG striker, as he’s scored just one goal in four appearances, but he’s also racked up 14 shots in four Serie A matches. He should be extra motivated to find the back of the net as he’ll face his former team for the first time in his career.

AC Milan vs Benfica Same Game Parlay

Both Milan and Benfica have stood out more for their scoring ability than for their defensive prowess, suggesting that this could turn into a back-and-forth match. Both teams finding the back of the net looks entirely plausible, as BTTS has landed in three of Milan’s four Serie A games in 2026-27 and five of the Eagles’ six in the Europa League qualifiers.

The over 2.5-goal market also looks like a strong possibility, as that line has hit in two of the Rossoneri’s four Serie A matches and in each of Benfica’s last seven games across all competitions.

I’m also backing Milan to stay under 4.5 corners. They earned five in the draw against Lazio last time out, but that’s the only time they’ve recorded over 4.5 corners this season.

AC Milan vs Benfica Team News

AC Milan Team News 

AC Milan aren’t dealing with any injury concerns or suspensions, meaning Amorim will have a fully fit squad to choose from for this UEFA Europa League opener.

Given that this promises to be one of their toughest matches of the league phase, I expect Amorim to keep rotations to a minimum.

Benfica Team News

Benfica aren’t expected to make too many changes for this trip to Milan and should field a strong lineup.

The lone concern is Alexander Bah, who remains sidelined due to injury, while Bruma wasn’t included in the official UEFA Europa League squad. The rest of the regular starters should be fit and available for this clash.

AC Milan vs Benfica: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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