Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/05/2024
Calendar icon Updated 10 May 19:48

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/05/2024

Alexander Yaremenko Alexander Yaremenko

Odds via Tonybet

Nottingham Forest vs ChelseaMay 11, 2024, 12:30 PM EDT
Nottingham Forest odds+250
Chelsea odds-102
Draw+295
Over\Under2.5 -197/+165

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea. Shape of the Teams

After Chelsea’s defeat to Arsenal two weeks ago, it seemed Pochettino’s side had put their Conference League qualification chances at risk.

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However, inconsistent performances from Newcastle, Manchester United, and West Ham have paved the way for Chelsea to capitalize. With two recent victories against Tottenham and West Ham, Chelsea has climbed to seventh place in the Premier League standings and are within striking distance of sixth place.

The Blues have made significant improvements in the second half of the season, winning nine out of their last eleven Premier League games played at Stamford Bridge and scoring a cumulative score of 32-14. Chelsea’s performances have been particularly impressive in their last three home games, with a 5-0 rout against Everton, a 2-0 victory over Tottenham, and another 5-0 triumph against West Ham.

Pochettino has been using Marc Cucurella as a false fullback in the attacking phase alongside Moisés Caicedo to compensate for Enzo Fernandez’s absence. This setup allows Conor Gallagher, who plays as an attacking midfielder, to make stealthy runs into the opponent’s penalty area. 

Meanwhile, Cole Palmer has been operating as a playmaker. He enjoys complete creative freedom and provides a fantastic variety of penetrating passes into the final third while being a shooting threat from a range of positions.

In addition, in Chelsea’s 3-2-2-3 formation, wingers Mykhaylo Mudryk and Noni Madueke are provided ample opportunities to exploit their one-on-one situations on the flanks, where their dribbling skills can shine. The new system is designed to help them eventually deliver consistent high-level offensive performances.

However, the decisive factor in Chelsea’s frequent wins on their home field has been their high-intensity play, intelligence, and quality pressing. Unfortunately, this same intensity hasn’t translated to away matches.

Chelsea have scored 14 points fewer in away games this season than in home games. They have only managed two hard-fought wins in their last 12 away games in the Premier League. A good example of Chelsea’s struggles in away games was the recent 0-5 defeat to Arsenal, which highlighted their vulnerabilities.

Chelsea woefully lacks dynamic and energetic pressing in these away fixtures, forcing the team to retreat into the middle defensive block. In this scenario, Benoît Badiashile, Trevoh Chalobah, and Moisés Caicedo’s individual weaknesses are fully exposed. Additionally, Mudryk and Madueke struggle with defensive discipline. 

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Main Match Info

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds

Nottingham Forest may take advantage of all the abovementioned problems at Chelsea.

Nuno Espírito Santo’s team caused significant problems for Manchester City in the 35th EPL round. Playing in a 3-4-3 formation, Forest was able to create a 2v1 advantage over the opponents on the flanks, potentially scoring 2-3 goals. However, the only quality that the Tricky Trees lacked in that match was converting their opportunities into goals – a recurring problem since Espírito Santo’s arrival.

Nottingham has a formidable attacking lineup with Callum Hudson-Odoi, Morgan Gibbs-White, and Anthony Elanga. 

These players can beat opponents in 1v1 situations and create chances through precise passes into dangerous areas. Simultaneously, Ola Aina and Neco Williams contribute as wingbacks, covering free spaces and delivering hazardous crosses on the flanks. Despite this, Nottingham lacks a reliable striker to convert these chances into goals. 

Considering Forest’s recent strong performance at home and Chelsea’s poor away results, it’s reasonable to expect that the hosts won’t lose. Still, because of Nottingham’s problems with conversion, I suggest the option where the hosts would lose with a difference of only one goal.

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Betting Tip

Since Nuno Espírito Santo’s appointment, Nottingham Forest has adopted an open and attacking style of play, which has allowed their opponents to create more scoring opportunities near their goal.

Additionally, Nottingham’s goalkeeper Matz Sels has been one of the most unreliable in the Premier League, often conceding due to simple errors. Therefore, it is very likely that Chelsea will score at least one goal in the upcoming match.

Meanwhile, Chelsea face their own problems in defence and haven’t been able to keep a clean sheet in their last 17 away matches. Therefore, I anticipate that both teams will score.

Disclaimer: Odds are accurate at the time of posting and subject to change. Please verify the latest odds on our platform before betting.

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