Croatia vs England Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Oct 3)
Calendar icon Updated 02 Oct 11:27

Croatia vs England Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Oct 3)

Giorgi Natsvlishvili
Moneyline PickEngland to Win (-118)
Player PropHarry Kane to Score (-103)
Same Game ParlayEngland to Win + Harry Kane to Score + Over 2.5 Goals (+210)
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Croatia vs England Main Match Info

Croatia vs England Moneyline Prediction

England have just beaten Czechia 0-2 away, producing 1.48 xG from 22 shots while allowing only 0.32 xGA. Croatia, by contrast, arrive after a damaging 4-1 defeat to Spain, in which they generated only 0.44 xG while conceding 1.77 xGA.

There is also a relevant recent H2H meeting. England beat the Vatreni 4-2 at the 2026 World Cup in June. The Three Lions repeatedly created higher-quality opportunities against this Croatian structure.

Croatia’s home advantage is reduced because the game in Rijeka is scheduled to be played behind closed doors. Thus, England are favourites to claim three points.

Croatia vs England Player Prop

Harry Kane is the standout player prop. He enters the match having scored in both of England’s Nations League games this window, including the second goal against Czechia, taking his international record to 87 goals in 123 appearances.

When England beat Croatia at the World Cup in June, Kane scored twice, including from the penalty spot. The Vatreni struggled to control him, with the Three Lions creating sustained pressure around their penalty area.

England should have more opportunities to establish possession in Croatia’s half than they did against Spain. If they score first, the Vatreni will need to become more aggressive, creating transition space for the Three Lions’ wide players to supply Kane.

Croatia vs England Same Game Parlay

England to Win: England beat Croatia at the World Cup 4-2. With the hosts struggling against elite opposition, Thomas Tuchel’s side are favourites in this matchup.

Harry Kane to Score: Kane has already scored twice, and his influence is huge. With England likely to dominate, he is a strong candidate to score.

Over 2.5 Goals: Croatia’s last two games have produced three or more goals, while England have already scored four goals in this tournament. Both teams are attack-oriented, so we expect a high-scoring match.

Croatia vs England Team News

Croatia Team News 

Following their victory against Czechia, Croatia lost 4-1 and were outshot 16-5 by Spain, with La Furia Roja producing 1.77 xG to the Vatreni‘s 0.44. Spain also generated seven shots on target, four big chances, 12 attempts from inside the penalty area, and 38 penalty-box touches, compared with only 12 for Croatia.

The central figure remains Luka Modrić. Despite his age, he opened the scoring in their 1-2 win. Marco Pašalić scored the winner against Czechia after coming off the bench, while Dion Beljo scored Croatia’s only goal in their 4-1 defeat to Spain.

Josip Juranović and Martin Erlić are out for this international window through injury. Josip Stanišić is questionable.

England Team News

After a painful defeat against Spain, England beat Czechia 0-2, recording 66% possession, 22 shots to six, seven shots on target to two, and 40 opposition-box touches to 15. They generated 1.48 xG while restricting Czechia to only 0.32 xG.

Harry Kane has scored in both Nations League matches. Anthony Gordon has also scored in both games and has arguably been England’s most dynamic attacker during the window. Thomas Tuchel used Jude Bellingham as a No. 9 after Kane was substituted in Prague and publicly said he likes Bellingham in that position.

Declan Rice, Cole Palmer, Marcus Rashford, Kobbie Mainoo, and Tino Livramento are all out through injury.

Croatia vs England: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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